Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 22 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 40 105 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 88 1709 10416 33446
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 27 24 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 69 194 46 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 90 1389 8645 35363
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 16 34 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 39 69 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 133 74 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 185 285 92 45
VCDI 0 0 0 0 159 1337 10137 33203
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 5 6 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 38 66 23 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 29 53 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 147 74 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 269 184 82 80
VCDI 0 0 0 7 333 1564 11891 30919
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 8 20 2 0 0
OW 0 0 0 34 40 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 31 72 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 164 73 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 256 177 86 72
VCDI 0 0 0 11 322 1573 11887 30927

Date: 2018-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 30 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 77 187 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 142 38 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 261 176 119 48
VCDI 0 0 0 12 461 1680 11108 31395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 34 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 77 181 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 161 41 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 272 168 127 44
VCDI 0 0 0 14 432 1687 11097 31399

Date: 2018-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 35 151 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 248 98 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 251 393 177 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 349 2046 12306 29703
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 15 65 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 120 52 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 142 77 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 202 324 195 18
VCDI 0 0 0 2 484 2088 12317 29706

Date: 2018-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 2 37 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 74 135 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 164 62 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 244 289 141 8
VCDI 0 0 0 2 432 2471 13656 28078
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 1 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 2 53 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 30 99 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 133 43 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 179 235 80 61
VCDI 0 0 0 19 559 2535 13715 28025

Date: 2018-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 13 2 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 7 61 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 3 30 105 13 0 0
ODI 0 14 4 23 115 49 0 0
CDI 0 9 2 40 179 293 132 15
VCDI 0 5 2 43 425 1852 14118 28209
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 15 1 14 12 0 0 0
OW 0 7 5 20 25 7 0 0
VODI 0 10 0 29 78 35 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 28 90 69 22 0
CDI 0 21 3 18 126 197 195 85
VCDI 0 38 10 102 519 1899 14033 28139


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