Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68397 16478 202 910 441 36 0 0
OW 51 360 52 545 379 49 0 0
VODI 0 78 25 331 693 156 4 0
ODI 0 6 5 112 585 445 42 0
CDI 0 0 1 25 436 762 178 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 270 1486 8290 7270
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68347 16190 215 1059 424 29 0 0
OW 51 418 48 463 485 55 1 0
VODI 0 117 36 278 793 171 15 0
ODI 0 7 4 164 630 458 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 454 873 188 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 337 1861 7934 6855
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68465 16382 205 980 276 13 0 0
OW 51 381 66 643 393 43 0 0
VODI 0 90 23 392 821 125 4 0
ODI 0 5 2 72 673 404 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 511 1145 205 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 146 1961 7541 7053
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67991 16616 232 1114 497 59 3 0
OW 51 315 45 503 526 111 10 0
VODI 0 73 24 330 692 284 39 0
ODI 0 5 2 68 511 481 84 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 385 1209 288 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 1807 8376 6283
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67991 16696 232 1166 515 58 3 0
OW 51 242 48 464 480 105 8 0
VODI 0 66 23 313 725 273 38 0
ODI 0 5 0 75 514 484 78 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 378 1175 243 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 1856 8430 6283

Date: 2018-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68753 16238 192 1025 529 49 0 0
OW 52 288 58 543 452 108 1 0
VODI 0 61 21 336 770 204 30 0
ODI 0 4 3 98 648 317 62 0
CDI 0 0 2 28 468 1022 194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 186 2795 7835 5723
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68753 16220 189 1051 522 49 0 0
OW 52 297 61 510 421 109 1 0
VODI 0 68 23 342 796 203 26 0
ODI 0 6 1 98 659 352 60 0
CDI 0 0 2 29 458 950 156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 197 2832 7879 5723

Date: 2018-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69461 15439 166 748 344 23 0 0
OW 54 501 77 622 359 52 0 0
VODI 3 124 35 551 987 148 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 839 374 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 387 1549 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 104 1960 8016 5920
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69448 15697 200 1067 604 100 1 0
OW 66 277 55 443 448 110 14 0
VODI 4 89 20 335 718 211 33 0
ODI 0 1 3 99 548 353 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 462 960 92 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 240 2372 8072 5920

Date: 2018-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70070 15261 167 987 466 44 0 0
OW 63 437 71 524 546 123 0 0
VODI 0 64 16 303 695 251 2 0
ODI 0 2 0 53 647 398 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 538 871 107 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 380 3048 7683 5251
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70070 15286 181 1159 742 155 0 0
OW 63 323 37 264 441 168 11 0
VODI 0 145 28 233 504 308 21 0
ODI 0 9 8 144 427 313 26 0
CDI 0 1 0 65 518 638 156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 640 3153 7599 5251

Date: 2018-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70342 15106 199 995 680 136 1 0
OW 69 420 44 424 492 182 3 0
VODI 7 170 17 287 643 256 42 0
ODI 1 5 1 101 537 279 57 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 504 775 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 371 2637 8052 5115
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70348 15113 188 999 789 274 12 0
OW 70 389 29 268 366 134 27 0
VODI 1 158 31 216 444 188 43 0
ODI 0 36 9 158 391 313 31 0
CDI 0 5 4 153 520 554 179 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 717 2802 7980 5115


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