Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 2 10 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 21 7 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 2 29 14 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 3 26 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 41 71 126 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 382 8069 23245
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 2 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 1 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 14 100 25 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 518 8107 23142
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 4 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 8 41 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4 197 94 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 719 9514 21462
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 5 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 8 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 23 27 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 45 113 56 42
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 589 8741 22389
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 5 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 7 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 21 20 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 46 93 56 50
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 616 8741 22381

Date: 2018-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 8 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 35 10 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 63 47 113 28
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 651 8957 22070
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 24 13 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 60 41 113 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 654 8955 22074

Date: 2018-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 32 2 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 35 62 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 24 285 81 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1122 11393 18988
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 25 51 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 29 202 84 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 1218 11391 18981

Date: 2018-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 12 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 19 20 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 24 99 107 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 1123 11310 19342
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 4 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 9 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 14 26 31 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 1207 11387 19346

Date: 2018-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 23 16 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 28 102 143 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 632 9457 21654
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 10 17 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 12 42 129 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 691 9471 21625


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