Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 17 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 80 175 60 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 90 1787 10761 32882
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 31 45 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 56 184 111 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 110 1483 11085 32752
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 26 55 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 48 230 79 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 1100 9633 34607
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 20 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 75 173 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 129 1661 10450 33283
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 11 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 23 47 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 69 170 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 127 1655 10462 33283

Date: 2018-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 41 149 17 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 1226 10273 34092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 24 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 28 143 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 1231 10270 34093

Date: 2018-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 9 87 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 122 74 15 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 144 290 73 106
VCDI 0 0 0 0 110 1314 9419 34076
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 8 46 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 68 58 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 136 170 67 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 213 1458 9428 34154

Date: 2018-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 31 59 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 39 62 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 142 49 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 267 223 77 42
VCDI 0 0 0 7 220 1457 10662 32441
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 23 47 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 19 44 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 101 27 7 5
CDI 0 0 0 39 255 163 92 68
VCDI 0 0 0 13 303 1556 10647 32410

Date: 2018-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 40 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 36 87 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 139 52 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 255 222 94 36
VCDI 0 0 0 12 380 1595 12199 30537
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 43 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 17 35 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 71 12 16 21
CDI 0 0 0 36 186 120 110 117
VCDI 0 0 0 32 591 1753 12171 30435


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