Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69152 15415 203 1212 734 214 6 0
OW 51 270 42 306 645 187 21 0
VODI 0 58 27 222 701 364 59 0
ODI 0 7 3 84 361 386 76 0
CDI 0 0 1 26 402 692 232 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 149 1597 8020 7174
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69237 15523 205 1123 661 140 8 0
OW 51 302 46 411 499 155 24 0
VODI 0 72 32 255 721 343 72 0
ODI 0 8 4 93 360 310 89 0
CDI 0 1 1 27 440 491 204 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 368 1647 8139 7031
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68845 16132 203 964 470 45 0 0
OW 51 267 71 502 423 73 0 0
VODI 0 21 18 342 627 225 13 0
ODI 0 0 3 69 559 450 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 447 685 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 246 1948 8235 6902
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68548 16398 210 930 416 15 0 0
OW 51 282 49 518 451 47 0 0
VODI 0 50 21 266 715 174 2 0
ODI 0 5 4 103 492 494 43 0
CDI 0 0 1 25 414 779 289 3
VCDI 0 0 0 1 255 1627 8161 7261
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68548 16442 218 993 440 15 0 0
OW 51 237 42 466 444 50 0 0
VODI 0 52 21 257 724 198 2 0
ODI 0 3 3 99 474 510 55 0
CDI 0 1 1 26 379 673 217 6
VCDI 0 0 0 2 282 1690 8221 7258

Date: 2018-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68587 15939 206 1005 431 35 0 0
OW 51 438 47 545 398 52 0 0
VODI 0 118 38 299 782 124 4 0
ODI 0 5 7 167 650 399 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 569 796 145 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 356 2012 8516 6285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68587 16047 212 1133 470 32 0 0
OW 51 328 45 469 445 62 0 0
VODI 0 117 33 261 739 148 5 0
ODI 0 8 7 146 600 376 33 0
CDI 0 0 1 56 518 741 138 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 414 2059 8519 6285

Date: 2018-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68231 16356 198 789 365 20 0 0
OW 51 447 79 602 360 36 0 0
VODI 0 128 23 488 903 129 1 0
ODI 0 5 2 53 722 494 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 366 1332 199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 146 1707 8378 6468
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68231 16486 216 1030 607 35 0 0
OW 51 321 57 427 469 66 0 0
VODI 0 107 23 280 608 338 18 0
ODI 0 17 5 139 488 578 61 0
CDI 0 5 1 55 427 795 240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 263 1906 8273 6468

Date: 2018-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68146 16641 208 979 390 24 0 0
OW 51 338 60 539 531 64 0 0
VODI 0 80 23 354 744 227 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 77 533 481 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 417 1175 251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 226 2028 8480 5988
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68146 16627 217 1065 700 81 0 0
OW 51 318 39 347 362 144 3 0
VODI 0 103 35 318 511 393 25 0
ODI 0 14 5 172 443 611 73 0
CDI 0 2 0 53 477 732 306 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 348 2038 8351 5988

Date: 2018-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68563 16237 213 1048 489 68 11 0
OW 52 297 54 510 502 102 19 0
VODI 0 79 26 318 755 245 35 0
ODI 0 7 5 96 610 426 82 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 440 1034 250 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 175 1961 8116 6242
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68563 16033 202 1128 784 116 28 0
OW 52 433 55 289 406 149 21 0
VODI 0 123 32 311 575 372 53 0
ODI 0 24 8 176 457 502 76 0
CDI 0 7 1 80 454 743 457 2
VCDI 0 0 0 21 295 1954 7878 6240


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