Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 9 47 24 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 23 23 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 22 29 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 19 25 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 38 27 25 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 45 3429 28283
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 32 23 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 14 30 4 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 20 24 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 16 20 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 28 55 89 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 236 6030 25393
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 2 12 4 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 9 31 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 12 31 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 22 20 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 45 52 46 28
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 404 8486 22853
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 12 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 8 21 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 16 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 17 25 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 70 64 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 495 8842 22398
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 13 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 7 19 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 14 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 17 28 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 53 59 29 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 500 8846 22397

Date: 2018-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 4 1 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 2 41 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 1 42 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 48 39 76 81
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 346 6905 24416
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 4 2 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 1 39 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 1 39 15 3
CDI 0 0 0 8 27 37 78 101
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 353 6904 24393

Date: 2018-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 3 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 8 44 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 14 205 79 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 1016 9119 21537
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 1 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4 114 49 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 1111 9158 21542

Date: 2018-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 2 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 12 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 20 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 60 141 34 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 737 9772 21209
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 12 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 28 75 9 14
VCDI 0 0 0 3 76 813 9797 21209

Date: 2018-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 34 7 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 61 72 96 42
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 595 8566 22541
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 13 4 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 37 94 103 49
VCDI 0 0 0 3 79 576 8552 22534


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