Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-04-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 3 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 51 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 40 227 90 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 1416 8924 35021
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 52 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 11 21 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 38 70 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 1065 7123 37320
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 3 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 17 28 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 35 193 78 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 1022 6718 37687
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 6 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 41 185 54 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 82 1710 9116 34653
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 13 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 43 182 52 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 83 1714 9117 34657

Date: 2018-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 62 19 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 79 200 95 18
VCDI 0 0 0 0 126 1792 11921 31549
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 59 28 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 73 193 104 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 136 1790 11912 31556

Date: 2018-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 44 58 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 64 241 133 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 1138 9870 34228
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 12 33 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 50 156 132 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 1249 9866 34226

Date: 2018-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 3 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 11 37 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 85 204 56 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 1118 9012 35215
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 3 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 11 34 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 34 151 30 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 158 1177 9040 35211

Date: 2018-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 22 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 40 105 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 88 1709 10416 33446
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 30 16 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 47 161 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 62 1640 10367 33446


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