Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-03-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 210 11 70 14 0 0 0
OW 0 33 1 12 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 15 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 23 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 59 27 7 51
VCDI 0 0 0 4 115 470 6543 24346
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 185 8 42 32 1 0 0
OW 0 28 3 18 9 5 0 0
VODI 0 4 0 15 18 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 23 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 16 28 17 55
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 421 5687 25436
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 132 8 41 60 9 0 0
OW 0 18 2 20 14 11 0 0
VODI 0 12 1 13 22 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 13 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 54 22 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 251 5429 25907
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 4 58 31 1 0 0
OW 0 23 2 20 17 5 0 0
VODI 0 24 0 13 22 7 0 0
ODI 0 17 2 1 17 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 12 52 20 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 609 5771 25232
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 5 65 35 1 0 0
OW 0 26 1 16 14 6 0 0
VODI 0 22 0 10 23 7 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 1 16 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 53 23 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 605 5768 25232

Date: 2018-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 8 83 31 0 0 0
OW 0 7 0 36 13 8 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 25 26 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 28 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 38 29 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 283 6706 24582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 69 6 90 33 0 0 0
OW 0 6 2 29 15 12 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 27 28 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 23 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 37 33 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 276 6710 24582

Date: 2018-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 134 8 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 8 33 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 2 37 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 23 16 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 9 32 63 4 25
VCDI 0 0 0 5 57 878 6688 23960
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 117 4 30 1 0 0 0
OW 0 36 6 21 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 5 35 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 25 18 0 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 21 28 51 5 10
VCDI 0 0 0 7 53 890 6687 23975

Date: 2018-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 66 6 57 4 0 0 0
OW 0 4 4 33 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 31 28 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 27 7 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 26 134 45 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1734 10423 19389
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 3 54 11 0 0 0
OW 0 11 4 20 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 3 34 25 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 15 23 10 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 26 125 44 31
VCDI 0 0 0 9 9 1736 10422 19365

Date: 2018-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 4 35 35 2 0 0
OW 0 0 2 21 31 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 16 36 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 26 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 24 59 60 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 945 10783 19923
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 4 32 37 6 0 0
OW 0 1 2 13 29 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 29 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 18 22 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 25 52 61 110
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 942 10777 19815


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