Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-03-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68117 16705 202 811 430 144 0 0
OW 51 545 70 705 357 123 1 0
VODI 0 103 30 494 905 232 37 0
ODI 0 1 0 171 762 364 82 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 639 1115 300 56
VCDI 0 0 0 4 456 4542 24029 64413
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69060 15801 207 877 539 133 2 0
OW 57 454 59 605 462 134 10 0
VODI 1 82 21 386 870 290 34 0
ODI 0 1 5 148 580 413 74 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 435 1139 344 81
VCDI 0 0 0 0 225 3783 22834 66883
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68880 15762 177 907 472 67 0 0
OW 62 474 80 626 395 91 0 0
VODI 2 106 28 454 811 164 6 0
ODI 0 5 2 88 685 456 55 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 473 1448 265 36
VCDI 0 0 0 0 135 3876 19940 70006
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68348 16180 166 872 497 148 0 0
OW 52 448 80 532 403 130 21 0
VODI 0 122 27 356 691 185 80 0
ODI 0 35 7 93 654 371 145 0
CDI 0 4 1 28 434 1218 315 5
VCDI 0 0 0 3 168 4881 21973 67375
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68348 16203 178 952 562 170 0 0
OW 52 427 63 452 412 121 26 0
VODI 0 125 33 359 663 206 96 0
ODI 0 30 5 95 608 391 128 0
CDI 0 4 2 22 434 1158 276 5
VCDI 0 0 0 4 168 4887 22008 67375

Date: 2018-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68698 16534 196 953 372 66 0 0
OW 51 492 67 503 415 109 0 0
VODI 0 155 39 423 666 245 14 0
ODI 0 41 11 196 574 352 20 0
CDI 0 32 3 83 730 733 209 7
VCDI 0 22 5 72 825 5484 24480 63171
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68698 16586 194 1030 458 77 0 0
OW 51 433 70 440 405 120 0 0
VODI 0 156 40 412 673 236 13 0
ODI 0 41 9 203 515 377 23 0
CDI 0 30 3 72 739 696 203 10
VCDI 0 30 5 73 792 5483 24484 63168

Date: 2018-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69278 16628 149 540 284 44 0 0
OW 51 669 98 605 167 65 0 0
VODI 0 289 51 732 695 116 0 0
ODI 0 100 12 225 902 289 3 2
CDI 0 17 6 107 741 932 129 111
VCDI 0 0 1 30 986 5504 21141 65349
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69278 16567 168 751 476 97 0 0
OW 51 513 60 423 290 85 0 0
VODI 0 310 50 425 463 205 6 0
ODI 0 174 15 272 432 255 38 2
CDI 0 107 19 236 686 611 122 59
VCDI 0 32 5 132 1428 5697 21107 65401

Date: 2018-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69710 16086 152 675 365 139 0 0
OW 51 549 86 603 408 93 0 0
VODI 0 160 33 514 626 237 0 0
ODI 0 35 12 227 566 346 20 0
CDI 0 12 1 97 634 812 208 27
VCDI 0 4 0 34 557 6419 24202 62348
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69710 15735 140 781 565 155 0 0
OW 51 550 61 322 322 132 0 0
VODI 0 298 46 447 414 227 4 0
ODI 0 157 14 237 399 274 34 0
CDI 0 87 17 218 564 630 195 86
VCDI 0 19 6 145 892 6628 24197 62289

Date: 2018-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69739 15831 147 619 428 192 0 0
OW 59 519 92 449 340 148 0 0
VODI 5 140 47 475 655 361 10 0
ODI 2 16 8 233 513 437 63 0
CDI 0 5 1 72 576 747 222 4
VCDI 0 1 0 30 614 5399 25823 62026
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69734 15566 137 633 564 297 0 0
OW 59 535 71 345 307 153 0 0
VODI 7 292 58 386 438 251 12 0
ODI 4 78 17 255 419 335 66 1
CDI 1 31 11 164 550 587 221 186
VCDI 0 10 1 95 848 5661 25819 61843


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 11:11:53 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy