Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-03-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 378 4 7 1 0 0 0
OW 0 34 3 15 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 8 33 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 6 51 43 16 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 23 80 136 14 18
VCDI 0 0 0 5 264 2093 9083 19682
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 365 2 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 5 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 3 30 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 45 10 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 23 77 56 2 47
VCDI 0 0 0 6 191 1317 6755 23078
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 293 11 51 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 2 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 1 29 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 31 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 75 42 10 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 704 6102 24570
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 237 12 75 4 0 0 0
OW 0 31 1 13 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 3 25 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 29 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 58 28 14 13
VCDI 0 0 0 3 150 582 7955 22779
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 240 13 76 5 0 0 0
OW 0 30 0 11 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 3 27 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 25 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 57 27 15 14
VCDI 0 0 0 5 154 583 7954 22778

Date: 2018-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 191 10 57 33 0 0 0
OW 0 31 2 13 11 3 0 0
VODI 0 5 1 14 16 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 25 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 50 23 54 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 352 6014 25076
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 192 10 62 34 0 0 0
OW 0 29 2 8 11 3 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 16 15 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 25 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 52 23 53 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 349 6015 25071

Date: 2018-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 161 8 44 45 8 0 0
OW 0 27 3 18 17 12 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 2 24 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 12 20 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 5 65 33 18
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 228 5217 26093
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 8 43 41 14 0 0
OW 0 32 1 11 11 7 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 10 15 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 18 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 14 25 18 18
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 279 5237 26093

Date: 2018-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 8 41 55 3 0 0
OW 0 21 1 24 18 6 0 0
VODI 0 27 1 17 19 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 2 14 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 13 50 17 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 375 5732 25500
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 132 8 45 64 7 0 0
OW 0 17 2 24 17 6 0 0
VODI 0 11 1 14 18 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 15 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 52 7 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 364 5742 25478

Date: 2018-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 96 4 55 31 2 0 0
OW 0 12 8 24 13 8 0 0
VODI 0 6 0 27 27 9 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 18 14 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 13 59 8 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 719 6427 24478
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 8 68 41 9 0 0
OW 0 7 4 28 19 8 0 0
VODI 0 5 1 23 20 12 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 7 11 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 9 85 25 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 663 6410 24477


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