Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-03-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 44 455 0 6 7 0 0 0
OW 0 53 1 16 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 8 28 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 6 32 28 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 72 42 42 20
VCDI 0 0 0 6 88 416 6362 24226
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 427 1 2 7 0 0 0
OW 0 48 2 5 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 6 31 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 5 41 33 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 29 86 43 9 11
VCDI 0 0 0 4 119 431 8967 21674
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 498 6 19 13 0 0 0
OW 0 33 6 30 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 5 45 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 30 57 10 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 103 92 101 29
VCDI 0 0 0 5 146 690 8408 21680
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 386 6 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 3 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 5 69 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 7 38 56 50 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 27 89 151 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 330 2274 10658 17700
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 391 6 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 4 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 6 73 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 4 35 52 50 1 0
CDI 0 1 2 25 77 151 47 2
VCDI 0 0 1 20 345 2274 10663 17698

Date: 2018-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 377 3 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 3 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 6 39 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 2 39 19 0 0 0
CDI 0 6 2 39 76 17 20 80
VCDI 0 0 0 8 200 1544 7438 22069
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 375 2 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 4 9 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 6 40 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 44 19 0 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 35 70 15 22 80
VCDI 0 0 0 8 205 1546 7436 22069

Date: 2018-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 321 16 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 4 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 0 38 13 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 64 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 116 96 26 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 994 6530 23678
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 313 12 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 26 5 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 3 37 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 25 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 67 52 3 23
VCDI 0 0 0 6 165 1043 6553 23668

Date: 2018-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 261 15 67 2 0 0 0
OW 0 21 1 19 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 2 30 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 31 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 56 37 9 9
VCDI 0 0 0 1 110 542 6545 24263
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 252 12 59 3 0 0 0
OW 0 27 4 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 2 30 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 15 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 47 26 9 4
VCDI 0 0 0 9 141 560 6545 24268

Date: 2018-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 210 11 70 14 0 0 0
OW 0 33 1 12 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 15 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 23 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 59 27 7 51
VCDI 0 0 0 4 115 470 6543 24346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 206 10 65 15 0 0 0
OW 0 31 2 11 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 1 21 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 11 25 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 36 7 15 98
VCDI 0 0 0 17 145 492 6535 24299


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