Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 642 6 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 90 3 24 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 15 50 41 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 101 262 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 267 152 26 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 133 653 5743 23692
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 566 3 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 82 5 21 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 7 46 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 8 53 51 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 98 149 27 10
VCDI 0 0 0 5 212 1056 5575 23939
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 576 4 29 2 0 0 0
OW 0 44 3 22 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 8 32 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 5 34 39 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 63 162 13 59
VCDI 0 0 0 3 98 650 6687 23429
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 482 0 19 7 0 0 0
OW 0 50 0 16 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 7 16 24 1 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 29 34 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 54 65 31 29
VCDI 0 0 0 6 79 423 6413 24143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 481 0 22 4 0 0 0
OW 0 45 0 14 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 6 17 31 1 0 0
ODI 0 9 6 28 30 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 30 56 62 29 29
VCDI 0 0 0 7 78 427 6415 24143

Date: 2018-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38 431 1 4 10 0 0 0
OW 0 53 2 7 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 7 33 25 3 0 0
ODI 0 9 6 34 28 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 75 48 12 20
VCDI 0 0 0 7 106 425 6173 24445
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38 436 1 3 5 0 0 0
OW 0 47 2 14 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 8 31 27 1 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 32 31 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 29 71 46 8 17
VCDI 0 0 0 7 107 430 6177 24448

Date: 2018-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 462 3 9 11 0 0 0
OW 0 31 7 39 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 5 42 30 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 28 49 9 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 107 44 32 48
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 565 7841 22565
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 420 1 3 2 0 0 0
OW 0 45 2 8 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 7 40 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 36 22 7 0 1
CDI 0 1 2 39 79 42 21 45
VCDI 0 0 0 4 163 573 7854 22567

Date: 2018-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 434 4 24 2 0 0 0
OW 0 50 5 31 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 8 61 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 38 56 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 24 114 175 32 54
VCDI 0 0 0 5 274 1568 10659 18346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 414 1 12 1 0 0 0
OW 0 47 4 20 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 9 43 21 1 0 0
ODI 0 11 4 48 42 61 2 3
CDI 0 1 3 51 91 156 5 80
VCDI 0 0 0 9 318 1576 10684 18317

Date: 2018-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 378 4 7 1 0 0 0
OW 0 34 3 15 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 8 33 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 6 51 43 16 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 23 80 136 14 18
VCDI 0 0 0 5 264 2093 9083 19682
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 365 3 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 4 16 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 4 24 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 7 32 46 13 0 0
CDI 0 3 5 29 58 140 10 49
VCDI 0 0 0 27 280 2092 9087 19651


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