Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71448 15333 210 890 441 93 0 0
OW 72 312 39 513 301 148 1 0
VODI 0 228 28 376 683 233 14 0
ODI 0 65 17 215 918 316 67 0
CDI 0 25 9 168 832 1013 193 18
VCDI 0 7 5 83 592 5735 22565 62842
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71011 15453 182 970 471 101 0 0
OW 67 395 68 437 388 143 7 0
VODI 0 222 24 399 633 202 57 0
ODI 0 60 26 226 656 255 110 3
CDI 0 10 11 209 800 724 200 25
VCDI 0 0 0 107 929 6673 24248 60546
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70438 15657 175 896 560 37 0 0
OW 76 472 82 433 507 69 0 0
VODI 0 192 54 559 854 159 1 0
ODI 0 30 5 195 879 446 21 1
CDI 0 8 2 102 855 1216 95 82
VCDI 0 0 0 14 664 6732 26460 58020
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69936 15822 184 926 582 102 0 0
OW 63 550 81 498 400 109 0 0
VODI 0 240 45 425 812 277 16 0
ODI 0 33 17 207 674 464 22 1
CDI 0 0 0 119 666 959 132 68
VCDI 0 0 0 24 830 6686 25822 59256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69936 15958 197 970 606 112 0 0
OW 63 458 71 470 417 117 0 0
VODI 0 194 42 419 785 238 10 0
ODI 0 33 15 187 653 463 24 2
CDI 0 2 2 126 646 967 115 58
VCDI 0 0 0 27 857 6700 25843 59265

Date: 2018-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70425 15495 163 908 672 162 0 0
OW 64 601 78 415 446 103 0 0
VODI 0 233 31 310 735 286 13 0
ODI 0 80 11 222 630 460 16 0
CDI 0 41 5 153 731 978 148 33
VCDI 0 35 7 99 980 6090 25556 59633
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70425 15599 170 936 679 167 0 0
OW 64 498 65 398 440 94 0 0
VODI 0 208 36 356 777 327 8 0
ODI 0 84 9 164 637 515 24 0
CDI 0 50 8 138 683 916 121 28
VCDI 0 46 7 115 978 6060 25580 59638

Date: 2018-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69752 15822 149 815 521 216 1 0
OW 67 780 88 487 394 82 0 0
VODI 0 169 50 541 809 179 13 0
ODI 0 53 12 129 1029 556 72 10
CDI 0 31 9 83 1009 1807 419 81
VCDI 0 23 8 56 760 6254 24409 59303
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69753 15807 196 1051 734 301 4 0
OW 66 538 48 414 584 169 17 0
VODI 0 247 31 272 695 390 64 0
ODI 0 105 10 120 521 580 62 2
CDI 0 92 10 111 845 1162 189 53
VCDI 0 89 21 143 1143 6492 24578 59339

Date: 2018-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69470 15890 170 939 444 123 11 0
OW 52 518 63 613 430 63 23 0
VODI 0 243 33 447 936 187 46 0
ODI 0 118 15 147 864 507 87 4
CDI 0 59 10 123 910 1624 239 64
VCDI 0 48 8 118 955 8297 26267 55883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69470 15636 188 1040 689 192 15 0
OW 52 488 36 431 485 132 35 0
VODI 0 304 31 350 760 236 77 0
ODI 0 167 13 225 684 480 82 6
CDI 0 157 11 126 761 1633 147 85
VCDI 0 124 20 215 1160 8128 26317 55860

Date: 2018-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69459 15749 184 946 428 79 2 0
OW 51 412 53 533 483 75 0 0
VODI 0 165 37 432 861 248 2 0
ODI 0 89 9 212 801 506 17 0
CDI 0 72 6 120 876 1232 218 45
VCDI 0 178 24 219 1635 8549 23444 58597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69459 15645 180 1051 710 132 2 0
OW 51 359 54 462 463 163 0 0
VODI 0 232 22 331 737 291 11 0
ODI 0 109 18 144 630 455 42 1
CDI 0 55 11 141 744 1113 205 93
VCDI 0 265 28 333 1800 8535 23423 58548


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 10:54:51 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy