Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48 640 5 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 125 0 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 3 26 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 11 125 74 10 1 0
CDI 0 39 9 116 240 49 53 8
VCDI 0 17 4 98 653 1592 8088 19817
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 614 4 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 131 2 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 2 52 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 94 11 133 90 13 0 0
CDI 0 47 7 111 242 62 4 13
VCDI 0 18 10 53 512 1362 7212 21063
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 875 7 36 1 0 0 0
OW 0 85 12 35 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 10 114 116 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 6 97 355 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 299 191 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 156 1051 6223 22294
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 691 10 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 109 4 30 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 17 98 67 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 70 375 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 223 222 17 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 100 675 6312 22950
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 691 10 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 102 3 30 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 18 76 83 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 88 296 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 287 169 17 2
VCDI 0 0 0 2 99 734 6312 22950

Date: 2018-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 605 8 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 83 3 21 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 12 50 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 3 68 132 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 79 203 160 26 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 203 783 5317 24170
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 619 5 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 73 6 21 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 11 49 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 4 63 105 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 206 160 22 8
VCDI 0 0 0 6 226 771 5321 24171

Date: 2018-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 619 6 22 2 0 0 0
OW 0 47 7 33 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 7 49 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 41 65 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 109 406 78 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 807 6136 23453
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 533 4 9 1 0 0 0
OW 0 67 1 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 7 26 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 7 27 31 14 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 47 45 111 23 23
VCDI 0 0 0 15 202 1115 6191 23456

Date: 2018-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 43 503 1 36 1 0 0 0
OW 0 49 1 24 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 7 20 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 5 28 41 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 62 71 34 62
VCDI 0 0 0 0 68 460 6821 23649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 43 449 0 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 1 14 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 2 26 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 6 23 32 1 0 0
CDI 0 5 5 34 37 78 22 27
VCDI 0 0 0 14 106 455 6833 23684

Date: 2018-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 44 455 0 6 7 0 0 0
OW 0 53 1 16 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 8 28 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 6 32 28 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 72 42 42 20
VCDI 0 0 0 6 88 416 6362 24226
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 44 437 0 10 7 0 0 0
OW 0 55 2 6 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 6 17 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 6 47 46 8 2 0
CDI 0 2 1 35 73 38 29 13
VCDI 0 0 0 5 74 419 6373 24233


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