Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 14 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 14 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 28 104 1 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 1738 8874 34985
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 31 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 19 26 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 14 70 18 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 1305 7760 36547
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 14 44 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 12 130 25 37
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 1601 8528 35406
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 36 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 26 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 38 114 4 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 104 2013 10811 32657
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 34 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 28 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 43 128 2 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 2004 10813 32660

Date: 2018-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 78 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 45 28 0 2
CDI 0 0 0 22 63 63 0 14
VCDI 0 0 0 19 142 1452 10629 33259
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 81 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 45 27 0 3
CDI 0 0 0 21 63 66 0 6
VCDI 0 0 0 20 142 1449 10629 33266

Date: 2018-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 2 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 6 83 100 1 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 27 136 36 0 2
CDI 0 1 0 19 76 262 12 17
VCDI 0 0 0 2 71 2217 11564 31178
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 29 60 52 0 0
ODI 0 10 2 38 34 37 0 3
CDI 0 28 3 31 68 164 13 12
VCDI 0 5 1 34 147 2263 11563 31182

Date: 2018-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 8 22 32 12 0 0
VODI 0 54 6 69 116 31 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 25 98 58 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 24 66 171 30 13
VCDI 0 0 0 6 92 2238 10668 31949
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 5 15 8 0 0 0
OW 0 27 2 14 62 28 0 0
VODI 0 54 2 25 55 64 0 0
ODI 0 29 3 25 71 45 0 3
CDI 0 15 3 38 56 117 11 5
VCDI 0 0 0 29 152 2256 10687 31955

Date: 2018-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 5 61 30 3 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 55 62 81 0 5
CDI 0 0 0 16 70 154 27 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 68 1802 11118 32243
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 2 41 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 5 38 56 92 4 4
CDI 0 0 0 53 60 150 72 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 93 1798 11069 32226


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