Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-02-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71586 14974 196 814 403 33 0 0
OW 63 290 50 372 409 77 2 0
VODI 0 66 23 286 736 210 6 0
ODI 0 13 1 100 555 400 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 387 745 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 304 2000 8831 4965
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71248 15037 186 898 454 27 0 0
OW 64 432 50 416 342 71 0 0
VODI 0 137 33 312 674 146 23 0
ODI 0 51 9 127 582 255 53 0
CDI 0 13 11 93 499 827 95 0
VCDI 0 2 2 78 600 3380 6909 4964
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71911 14985 168 697 206 1 0 0
OW 63 430 55 533 289 11 0 0
VODI 0 208 29 429 582 76 6 0
ODI 0 88 10 166 664 120 16 0
CDI 0 39 14 142 683 755 96 0
VCDI 0 17 12 158 1182 4092 8960 1207
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72043 14396 166 760 306 7 0 0
OW 63 478 47 424 333 61 0 0
VODI 0 204 43 327 556 137 0 0
ODI 0 73 7 192 475 247 0 0
CDI 0 48 7 153 591 881 61 0
VCDI 0 99 14 127 1002 3487 7108 4177
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72043 14420 166 817 335 29 0 0
OW 63 456 45 355 301 60 0 0
VODI 0 201 42 334 522 114 0 0
ODI 0 74 9 190 468 192 1 0
CDI 0 40 7 147 566 795 49 0
VCDI 0 107 15 140 1071 3630 7119 4177

Date: 2018-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71606 14492 155 774 339 1 0 0
OW 63 464 57 425 288 36 0 0
VODI 0 250 31 368 506 95 0 0
ODI 0 76 12 185 598 181 0 0
CDI 0 43 6 120 919 455 11 0
VCDI 0 87 17 141 1290 3169 7554 4286
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71606 14457 157 816 409 15 0 0
OW 63 496 47 358 246 40 0 0
VODI 0 243 39 373 463 88 0 0
ODI 0 81 12 189 585 143 0 0
CDI 0 43 6 124 837 363 10 0
VCDI 0 92 17 153 1400 3288 7555 4286

Date: 2018-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71417 14844 180 823 254 25 0 0
OW 63 269 62 527 348 56 0 0
VODI 0 107 14 411 713 232 0 0
ODI 0 72 7 136 675 421 1 0
CDI 0 61 16 104 651 1073 111 0
VCDI 0 4 2 54 419 3092 6195 5661
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71417 14459 178 848 449 114 0 0
OW 63 413 44 352 289 98 0 0
VODI 0 243 25 354 409 196 0 0
ODI 0 86 8 182 447 238 18 0
CDI 0 39 8 149 571 798 102 0
VCDI 0 117 18 170 895 3455 6187 5661

Date: 2018-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71598 14700 184 853 406 34 0 0
OW 69 268 41 430 340 102 0 0
VODI 0 130 24 314 554 249 7 0
ODI 0 47 12 124 607 263 23 0
CDI 0 62 18 112 822 762 126 0
VCDI 0 0 0 64 729 2425 7263 5338
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71603 14317 149 704 487 171 3 0
OW 64 445 54 355 210 93 7 0
VODI 0 229 30 368 403 154 21 0
ODI 0 87 15 198 443 216 33 0
CDI 0 57 11 103 802 488 95 0
VCDI 0 72 20 169 1113 2713 7260 5338

Date: 2018-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71432 14691 204 874 441 93 0 0
OW 72 222 36 489 300 148 1 0
VODI 0 159 13 326 599 195 14 0
ODI 0 59 13 114 627 264 67 0
CDI 0 25 9 122 528 748 167 0
VCDI 0 7 5 83 338 3379 7450 4786
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71439 14161 180 841 600 200 0 0
OW 65 352 35 367 278 122 8 0
VODI 0 301 19 247 425 189 23 0
ODI 0 140 13 185 355 245 49 0
CDI 0 120 13 137 553 581 132 0
VCDI 0 89 20 231 622 3490 7487 4786


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