Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-02-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 496 7 29 8 0 0 0
OW 0 27 5 27 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 34 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 23 112 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 18 133 108 32 14
VCDI 0 0 0 1 95 534 3553 26689
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 466 7 25 4 0 0 0
OW 0 44 5 19 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 6 35 24 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 32 38 24 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 22 57 95 23 7
VCDI 0 0 0 3 88 514 5264 25203
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 635 5 19 1 0 0 0
OW 0 85 2 12 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 4 24 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 7 45 26 12 0 0
CDI 0 23 5 55 94 229 19 8
VCDI 0 0 0 45 351 1854 7595 20757
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 636 5 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 107 0 14 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 7 18 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 10 91 83 10 0 0
CDI 0 30 5 80 236 84 27 16
VCDI 0 8 5 61 483 1700 7524 20605
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 673 5 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 90 0 14 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 9 18 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 11 91 84 9 0 0
CDI 0 26 5 111 237 78 25 11
VCDI 0 6 2 31 483 1707 7526 20610

Date: 2018-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48 620 6 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 127 2 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 133 1 38 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 78 13 130 81 15 0 0
CDI 0 43 5 103 262 56 31 4
VCDI 0 19 7 76 516 1515 8101 20005
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48 679 6 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 120 2 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 4 47 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 12 126 101 13 0 0
CDI 0 36 6 119 254 61 27 1
VCDI 0 9 4 56 504 1512 8105 20008

Date: 2018-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 925 6 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 85 9 31 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 15 211 66 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 7 111 297 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 34 311 165 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 198 1222 6659 21572
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 639 4 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 131 2 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 126 2 59 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 96 8 146 113 11 0 0
CDI 0 48 17 131 247 60 0 0
VCDI 0 11 5 58 503 1339 6663 21572

Date: 2018-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 786 5 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 88 15 53 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 11 109 98 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 48 414 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 258 217 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 89 840 6460 22484
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 605 5 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 121 0 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 115 8 29 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 16 80 184 12 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 93 357 74 3 5
VCDI 0 1 1 29 307 994 6463 22479

Date: 2018-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 642 6 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 90 3 24 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 15 50 41 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 101 262 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 267 152 26 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 133 653 5743 23692
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 532 2 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 106 3 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 5 30 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 60 13 35 142 17 0 0
CDI 0 6 5 109 228 96 3 5
VCDI 0 0 0 41 303 710 5766 23694


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