Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-02-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114 549 4 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 91 4 29 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 145 6 20 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 110 10 36 64 3 3 0
CDI 0 51 13 93 94 44 15 18
VCDI 0 21 12 138 368 570 4442 24967
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 627 2 13 1 0 0 0
OW 0 93 10 16 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 2 33 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 101 5 35 74 31 2 0
CDI 0 83 12 45 73 120 75 19
VCDI 0 75 14 197 409 673 6654 22421
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 649 12 32 1 0 0 0
OW 0 49 7 45 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 7 65 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 7 78 104 33 3 0
CDI 0 12 6 49 106 215 72 34
VCDI 0 0 0 25 178 542 4286 25296
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 531 7 29 5 0 0 0
OW 0 41 4 27 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 6 25 78 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 3 19 143 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 25 85 155 7 11
VCDI 0 0 0 10 111 537 3953 26163
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 529 9 31 5 0 0 0
OW 0 43 3 25 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 5 26 95 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 18 143 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 26 70 156 8 9
VCDI 0 0 0 9 108 529 3952 26165

Date: 2018-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 466 5 36 8 0 0 0
OW 0 36 5 19 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 3 30 42 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 24 61 17 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 17 93 110 43 4
VCDI 0 0 0 6 97 529 4492 25863
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 480 6 43 7 0 0 0
OW 0 23 4 17 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 3 26 43 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 24 88 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 18 88 133 43 4
VCDI 0 0 0 4 66 493 4492 25863

Date: 2018-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66 570 6 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 9 27 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 7 53 25 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 47 42 13 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 101 168 132 5
VCDI 0 0 0 2 72 706 7149 22778
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66 479 3 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 3 14 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 10 20 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 4 57 20 7 0 0
CDI 0 6 4 40 65 101 6 22
VCDI 0 0 0 19 149 780 7276 22761

Date: 2018-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 626 5 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 99 1 11 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 3 11 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 60 11 24 116 10 0 0
CDI 0 30 5 50 229 188 28 60
VCDI 0 2 1 37 424 2052 7451 20377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 536 3 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 93 2 7 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 3 9 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 78 1 14 19 0 0 0
CDI 0 58 5 33 138 77 0 3
VCDI 0 42 12 81 627 2173 7479 20434

Date: 2018-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48 640 5 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 125 0 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 3 26 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 11 125 74 10 1 0
CDI 0 39 9 116 240 49 53 8
VCDI 0 17 4 98 653 1592 8088 19817
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48 551 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 91 2 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 0 16 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 85 2 18 11 1 0 0
CDI 0 68 5 100 103 24 0 0
VCDI 0 119 20 255 862 1626 8142 19825


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