Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-01-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 168 483 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 77 4 27 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 3 77 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 1 48 49 2 0 0
CDI 0 53 3 5 91 34 19 7
VCDI 0 68 11 92 174 813 7321 22276
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 182 477 3 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 99 6 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 2 52 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 67 6 45 65 0 0 0
CDI 0 64 1 50 67 35 5 12
VCDI 0 96 9 110 282 679 5225 24319
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 196 555 7 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 2 29 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 146 0 50 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 8 25 93 1 0 0
CDI 0 30 6 80 134 102 19 1
VCDI 0 0 0 32 237 555 5301 24262
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111 564 5 29 5 0 0 0
OW 0 83 2 14 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 4 39 22 1 0 0
ODI 0 66 14 65 54 3 0 0
CDI 0 6 5 88 140 46 25 1
VCDI 0 0 1 39 233 593 5090 24592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111 559 5 28 6 0 0 0
OW 0 81 2 16 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 3 35 23 1 0 0
ODI 0 80 14 53 47 3 0 0
CDI 0 11 6 90 116 31 24 0
VCDI 0 0 1 52 265 608 5091 24593

Date: 2018-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98 562 5 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 122 8 23 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 149 0 32 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 122 7 47 43 14 4 0
CDI 0 101 7 51 99 52 10 16
VCDI 0 84 18 208 381 574 5492 23720
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98 529 4 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 127 9 22 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 0 35 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 118 8 45 36 11 4 0
CDI 0 103 5 49 64 37 13 9
VCDI 0 108 19 210 419 592 5489 23727

Date: 2018-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 707 9 24 3 0 0 0
OW 0 77 12 47 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 13 75 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 52 8 67 163 45 5 0
CDI 0 20 2 77 146 299 111 34
VCDI 0 5 1 11 130 436 6310 23060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 540 2 9 5 0 0 0
OW 0 83 4 20 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 13 33 10 2 0 0
ODI 0 90 6 41 46 10 6 0
CDI 0 68 7 46 64 97 81 23
VCDI 0 74 13 152 353 671 6339 23071

Date: 2018-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 605 11 27 2 0 0 0
OW 0 34 4 46 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 12 78 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 8 76 78 13 0 0
CDI 0 14 5 40 114 116 64 12
VCDI 0 0 0 37 175 569 3868 25938
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 461 3 9 3 0 0 0
OW 0 74 4 16 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 13 58 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 55 6 68 30 14 0 0
CDI 0 44 5 58 60 40 1 24
VCDI 0 23 9 95 292 644 3931 25926

Date: 2018-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 496 7 29 8 0 0 0
OW 0 27 5 27 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 34 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 23 112 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 18 133 108 32 14
VCDI 0 0 0 1 95 534 3553 26689
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 417 4 7 3 0 0 0
OW 0 52 3 15 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 4 37 34 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 5 30 74 8 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 28 127 54 0 57
VCDI 0 0 0 15 169 588 3585 26646


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