Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59 755 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 218 14 55 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 111 6 120 61 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 4 41 113 5 0 0
CDI 0 36 7 32 108 110 10 19
VCDI 0 4 7 62 179 677 5147 24070
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104 631 6 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 177 10 41 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 12 148 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 3 65 106 1 0 0
CDI 0 46 6 14 166 72 28 2
VCDI 0 23 8 78 222 511 4761 24612
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 135 610 12 46 1 0 0 0
OW 0 64 3 92 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 2 76 99 3 0 0
ODI 0 67 4 25 194 73 2 0
CDI 0 33 8 20 25 302 46 3
VCDI 0 1 1 60 126 453 5980 23418
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86 570 3 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 67 10 34 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 2 39 69 0 0 0
ODI 0 56 3 7 86 31 0 0
CDI 0 34 8 29 40 196 31 6
VCDI 0 7 4 52 121 512 6142 23757
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86 567 3 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 62 9 26 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 3 36 70 3 0 0
ODI 0 51 2 8 75 54 0 0
CDI 0 37 9 18 34 255 43 2
VCDI 0 20 4 65 126 427 6130 23761

Date: 2018-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 605 1 4 2 0 0 0
OW 0 84 4 19 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 9 66 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 2 49 46 8 5 0
CDI 0 31 6 22 137 131 116 8
VCDI 0 18 5 28 160 704 6639 23051
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 604 1 6 1 0 0 0
OW 0 101 3 26 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 10 59 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 3 44 57 10 0 0
CDI 0 33 5 20 123 150 104 10
VCDI 0 19 5 33 160 683 6656 23049

Date: 2018-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 774 6 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 119 18 63 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 6 80 70 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 1 37 164 29 0 0
CDI 0 19 8 61 244 173 26 2
VCDI 0 0 0 4 118 797 5638 23514
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 632 3 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 125 2 6 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 14 25 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 60 11 57 80 4 0 0
CDI 0 49 1 87 136 92 31 7
VCDI 0 40 8 74 344 903 5633 23509

Date: 2018-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109 591 2 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 121 7 56 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 15 76 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 1 31 97 23 0 0
CDI 0 47 1 13 75 87 29 11
VCDI 0 36 12 79 167 499 6036 23667
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109 457 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 107 2 13 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 7 30 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 72 9 47 37 2 0 0
CDI 0 47 4 40 70 27 23 27
VCDI 0 134 15 131 273 580 6042 23651

Date: 2018-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 168 483 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 77 4 27 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 3 77 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 1 48 49 2 0 0
CDI 0 53 3 5 91 34 19 7
VCDI 0 68 11 92 174 813 7321 22276
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 168 339 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 84 2 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 4 26 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 1 50 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 53 3 39 34 11 5 6
VCDI 0 200 15 135 290 838 7335 22277


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