Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75749 14412 142 431 325 84 0 0
OW 67 602 73 387 179 69 18 0
VODI 0 199 40 471 428 263 54 0
ODI 0 62 13 143 494 316 16 1
CDI 0 40 12 86 482 583 74 45
VCDI 0 4 7 91 734 5380 23537 60935
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75797 14478 139 443 218 40 0 0
OW 67 656 66 331 172 38 0 0
VODI 0 402 59 449 352 85 53 0
ODI 0 138 23 271 539 243 26 0
CDI 0 83 19 143 653 514 102 41
VCDI 0 29 17 191 1246 5459 23602 59864
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75824 14727 182 661 281 16 0 0
OW 67 340 53 400 258 27 0 0
VODI 0 165 32 383 485 90 2 0
ODI 0 86 16 232 710 303 14 0
CDI 0 40 11 72 490 1014 128 3
VCDI 0 2 1 94 790 5570 28857 54622
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75943 14462 191 611 88 0 0 0
OW 70 304 50 490 317 1 0 0
VODI 0 121 25 306 526 95 0 0
ODI 0 69 7 142 492 191 7 0
CDI 0 34 8 98 551 748 56 8
VCDI 0 7 4 82 754 6007 23996 60187
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75943 14442 184 661 120 0 0 0
OW 70 325 56 396 278 1 0 0
VODI 0 118 28 330 539 80 0 0
ODI 0 55 4 162 437 222 4 0
CDI 0 37 9 87 532 775 75 24
VCDI 0 20 4 93 822 5964 23980 60171

Date: 2018-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75718 14226 182 670 193 2 0 0
OW 71 276 42 411 317 31 0 0
VODI 0 122 29 309 502 109 6 0
ODI 0 55 6 173 479 189 11 0
CDI 0 33 12 89 614 647 131 18
VCDI 0 18 5 70 760 6595 27054 56873
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75718 14169 170 668 202 2 0 0
OW 71 340 52 385 283 13 0 0
VODI 0 109 31 343 493 109 2 0
ODI 0 55 6 168 474 184 7 0
CDI 0 38 12 78 604 646 128 33
VCDI 0 19 5 80 809 6619 27065 56858

Date: 2018-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76275 13577 161 534 114 13 0 0
OW 72 420 71 497 249 12 0 0
VODI 0 132 23 426 748 61 1 0
ODI 0 55 2 119 931 218 10 0
CDI 0 33 13 107 913 925 114 5
VCDI 0 9 6 57 859 7028 24970 57288
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76276 13236 163 638 245 41 0 0
OW 71 477 37 337 259 51 5 0
VODI 0 251 33 242 584 75 26 0
ODI 0 104 20 160 598 134 16 0
CDI 0 72 3 163 702 541 50 11
VCDI 0 86 20 200 1426 7415 24998 57282

Date: 2018-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76114 13397 154 798 188 2 0 0
OW 72 408 30 375 356 46 0 0
VODI 0 219 30 260 601 101 18 0
ODI 0 100 16 141 677 211 50 0
CDI 0 67 9 113 615 570 181 63
VCDI 0 47 20 196 1035 5798 26203 57767
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76115 13060 148 821 349 81 13 0
OW 71 453 20 270 310 71 19 0
VODI 0 279 27 239 537 80 57 0
ODI 0 149 16 119 560 173 34 3
CDI 0 108 11 97 494 430 111 138
VCDI 0 189 37 337 1222 5893 26218 57689

Date: 2018-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76218 13467 127 540 160 8 0 0
OW 83 511 44 338 298 39 0 0
VODI 0 319 28 315 471 95 23 0
ODI 0 162 19 178 495 250 76 0
CDI 0 97 21 153 580 588 132 43
VCDI 0 78 21 248 1033 5442 26427 57921
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76225 13067 128 650 429 74 10 0
OW 76 504 26 214 297 116 24 0
VODI 0 386 34 195 341 179 75 0
ODI 0 189 13 154 283 250 66 4
CDI 0 158 12 155 347 319 102 147
VCDI 0 330 47 404 1340 5484 26381 57813


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 10:23:54 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy