Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2018-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2017-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2018-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75767 14067 191 674 343 60 0 0
OW 64 138 45 426 294 115 6 0
VODI 0 23 14 297 461 102 11 0
ODI 0 0 1 57 455 163 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 469 449 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 268 1937 8499 3624
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75480 13941 162 570 295 65 0 0
OW 67 286 63 356 216 99 24 0
VODI 0 60 34 334 433 105 18 0
ODI 0 1 3 92 432 142 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 403 336 63 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 381 2673 8136 3788
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75480 13985 176 626 316 86 0 0
OW 67 250 51 316 226 76 29 0
VODI 0 52 31 321 421 108 18 0
ODI 0 1 4 83 447 146 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 382 356 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 368 2648 8135 3788

Date: 2018-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75634 13872 139 432 250 79 0 0
OW 67 420 65 301 161 40 9 0
VODI 0 187 39 322 294 93 64 0
ODI 0 59 19 159 313 127 13 0
CDI 0 10 11 115 345 238 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 77 672 2750 6745 4937
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75634 13844 135 459 277 97 1 0
OW 67 427 68 278 154 26 29 0
VODI 0 179 40 322 269 96 47 0
ODI 0 79 16 151 331 138 13 0
CDI 0 19 14 101 337 259 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 95 667 2711 6744 4937

Date: 2018-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75831 14028 131 517 201 10 0 0
OW 65 419 81 323 198 11 0 0
VODI 0 113 45 392 374 36 0 0
ODI 0 27 6 145 388 138 6 0
CDI 0 6 3 66 400 351 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 479 2797 8736 2675
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75829 13649 133 519 254 31 0 0
OW 67 478 45 194 203 24 8 0
VODI 0 290 46 285 261 74 41 0
ODI 0 99 21 203 284 162 32 0
CDI 0 48 18 153 315 274 26 0
VCDI 0 29 3 113 723 2778 8713 2675

Date: 2018-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75980 13951 162 562 138 0 0 0
OW 67 222 55 409 249 16 0 0
VODI 0 75 27 255 429 92 0 0
ODI 0 19 8 158 307 177 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 76 387 344 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 601 2187 8065 4040
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75974 13477 136 514 189 13 0 0
OW 73 390 40 280 243 45 0 0
VODI 0 234 37 278 324 147 6 0
ODI 0 65 18 140 257 156 10 0
CDI 0 45 17 136 320 292 16 0
VCDI 0 56 4 144 778 2163 8043 4040

Date: 2018-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75501 13895 199 716 161 2 0 0
OW 71 161 45 403 381 14 0 0
VODI 0 44 13 261 470 147 0 0
ODI 0 8 9 103 386 169 11 0
CDI 0 0 1 54 406 412 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 438 3142 7902 3562
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75499 13480 150 536 192 16 0 0
OW 73 434 70 385 253 33 1 0
VODI 0 147 24 298 404 149 7 0
ODI 0 23 7 148 340 182 3 0
CDI 0 4 6 90 427 343 9 0
VCDI 0 20 10 91 626 3163 7895 3562


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