Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2018-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2017-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2018-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77 825 13 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 136 5 80 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 3 102 97 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 2 19 186 0 0 0
CDI 0 29 9 63 169 90 2 14
VCDI 0 3 4 25 180 969 5901 22921
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 813 4 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 206 18 62 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 5 111 81 1 0 0
ODI 0 46 1 44 128 16 0 0
CDI 0 43 7 33 124 108 17 4
VCDI 0 6 3 63 217 1115 4980 23682
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 808 5 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 186 13 53 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 9 105 64 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 1 54 120 19 0 0
CDI 0 47 6 31 138 96 19 5
VCDI 0 9 4 69 228 1125 4978 23681

Date: 2018-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67 690 4 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 196 18 50 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 115 7 126 67 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 3 36 125 1 0 0
CDI 0 38 7 24 121 85 8 3
VCDI 0 13 10 63 171 567 4664 24745
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67 712 6 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 161 14 32 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 7 110 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 4 56 106 0 0 0
CDI 0 41 8 30 139 57 1 7
VCDI 0 15 10 69 209 596 4671 24741

Date: 2018-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 132 704 13 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 94 13 74 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 4 212 84 3 0 0
ODI 0 42 5 22 204 29 0 0
CDI 0 17 5 46 113 226 5 10
VCDI 0 1 1 31 127 603 5065 24065
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 132 572 4 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 132 14 48 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 8 135 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 2 99 80 10 0 0
CDI 0 52 4 32 169 129 5 8
VCDI 0 43 9 87 262 722 5065 24067

Date: 2018-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97 612 2 11 2 0 0 0
OW 0 57 13 66 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 0 47 84 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 9 14 122 36 3 0
CDI 0 22 3 44 71 291 43 4
VCDI 0 2 2 35 121 445 5460 24232
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97 517 2 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 102 7 26 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 5 58 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 52 7 30 86 0 3 0
CDI 0 36 3 30 115 69 35 1
VCDI 0 30 5 69 154 703 5468 24235

Date: 2018-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 619 2 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 10 37 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 5 81 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 4 43 69 8 0 0
CDI 0 26 5 38 175 137 58 2
VCDI 0 4 3 48 188 890 5565 23873
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 558 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 82 10 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 3 65 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 9 55 48 0 0 0
CDI 0 34 1 55 99 2 17 0
VCDI 0 27 6 65 287 1033 5606 23875


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