Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2018-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2017-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2018-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 82 14 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 37 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 143 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 90 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 97 211 10 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 164 2451 11391 31028
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 22 39 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 37 106 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 17 117 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 30 199 8 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 2055 10189 33008
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 25 49 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 18 41 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 24 105 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 11 75 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 25 184 28 42
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 2062 10169 32985

Date: 2018-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 39 163 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 46 198 25 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 145 1888 10800 32454
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 39 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 10 98 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 33 130 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 48 160 25 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 139 1895 10800 32457

Date: 2018-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 45 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 277 110 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 191 187 25 56
VCDI 0 0 0 5 235 2413 12765 29502
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 14 62 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 171 51 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 3 199 146 4 68
VCDI 0 0 0 6 310 2463 12786 29489

Date: 2018-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 26 47 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 106 379 9 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 73 2702 11845 30603
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 64 83 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 61 445 31 19
VCDI 0 0 0 9 80 2600 11822 30585

Date: 2018-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 21 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 40 178 29 4
VCDI 0 0 0 2 145 2398 11118 31894
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 76 258 40 18
VCDI 0 0 0 29 127 2313 11100 31880


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