Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2017-12-21
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2017-12-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
80985 |
11438 |
91 |
463 |
277 |
234 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
62 |
299 |
49 |
352 |
144 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
95 |
35 |
327 |
316 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
8 |
144 |
383 |
95 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
38 |
454 |
323 |
30 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
27 |
676 |
2961 |
8152 |
562 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-12-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
80730 |
11590 |
99 |
381 |
203 |
214 |
13 |
0 |
| OW |
64 |
316 |
57 |
408 |
138 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
70 |
42 |
320 |
368 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
6 |
105 |
408 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
405 |
329 |
32 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
377 |
2427 |
7843 |
1959 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-12-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79239 |
12909 |
162 |
565 |
236 |
162 |
21 |
0 |
| OW |
75 |
202 |
41 |
447 |
201 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
11 |
8 |
300 |
519 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
474 |
128 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
397 |
442 |
10 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
93 |
2112 |
5612 |
4642 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-12-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79502 |
12375 |
110 |
404 |
251 |
201 |
71 |
0 |
| OW |
216 |
471 |
57 |
330 |
88 |
24 |
24 |
0 |
| VODI |
9 |
186 |
35 |
375 |
303 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
48 |
12 |
173 |
340 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
9 |
144 |
369 |
286 |
21 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
752 |
2697 |
7308 |
1727 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79572 |
12453 |
114 |
442 |
264 |
204 |
94 |
0 |
| OW |
146 |
369 |
56 |
308 |
84 |
24 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
9 |
196 |
28 |
344 |
286 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
60 |
14 |
177 |
379 |
62 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
10 |
137 |
351 |
276 |
17 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
1 |
102 |
739 |
2693 |
7312 |
1727 |
|
Date: 2017-12-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79807 |
12058 |
111 |
395 |
186 |
160 |
50 |
0 |
| OW |
73 |
594 |
58 |
284 |
81 |
22 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
286 |
31 |
315 |
279 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
121 |
17 |
195 |
287 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
31 |
9 |
183 |
390 |
221 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
14 |
7 |
191 |
759 |
2130 |
6576 |
3102 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79819 |
12234 |
113 |
410 |
190 |
169 |
55 |
0 |
| OW |
61 |
429 |
59 |
278 |
85 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
257 |
22 |
281 |
260 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
133 |
22 |
199 |
309 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
36 |
10 |
183 |
373 |
232 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
15 |
7 |
212 |
765 |
2122 |
6577 |
3102 |
|
Date: 2017-12-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79225 |
12862 |
135 |
473 |
208 |
222 |
19 |
0 |
| OW |
60 |
389 |
50 |
366 |
150 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
112 |
26 |
399 |
286 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
2 |
125 |
444 |
92 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
2 |
31 |
565 |
367 |
13 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
401 |
2094 |
6079 |
3770 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79223 |
12217 |
95 |
383 |
233 |
271 |
19 |
0 |
| OW |
62 |
584 |
47 |
208 |
84 |
32 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
341 |
37 |
247 |
219 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
173 |
18 |
225 |
257 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
47 |
14 |
265 |
334 |
184 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
13 |
5 |
82 |
927 |
2277 |
6084 |
3770 |
|
Date: 2017-12-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78847 |
12640 |
108 |
428 |
217 |
236 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
77 |
399 |
41 |
327 |
137 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
4 |
190 |
31 |
278 |
310 |
65 |
5 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
30 |
19 |
201 |
325 |
80 |
18 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
7 |
120 |
447 |
217 |
8 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
528 |
3004 |
8903 |
778 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78679 |
12196 |
105 |
406 |
244 |
277 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
186 |
511 |
36 |
252 |
111 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
53 |
323 |
21 |
229 |
245 |
61 |
15 |
0 |
| ODI |
10 |
158 |
18 |
163 |
300 |
45 |
12 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
72 |
25 |
199 |
379 |
172 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
141 |
685 |
3025 |
8900 |
778 |
|
Date: 2017-12-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
77899 |
12783 |
130 |
452 |
235 |
222 |
24 |
0 |
| OW |
81 |
382 |
44 |
338 |
119 |
47 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
100 |
35 |
351 |
366 |
82 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
11 |
199 |
389 |
149 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
457 |
330 |
6 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
574 |
2549 |
7013 |
3591 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
77829 |
12436 |
133 |
575 |
311 |
255 |
37 |
0 |
| OW |
123 |
467 |
37 |
228 |
209 |
101 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
25 |
257 |
29 |
238 |
294 |
121 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
5 |
96 |
13 |
203 |
279 |
113 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
20 |
8 |
166 |
385 |
219 |
10 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
43 |
662 |
2570 |
7006 |
3591 |
|
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