Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-12-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1169 16 103 35 0 0 0
OW 0 140 9 50 41 3 0 0
VODI 0 144 5 56 61 24 0 0
ODI 0 49 12 74 66 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 136 134 4 14
VCDI 0 0 0 18 167 1781 6439 21227
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1071 7 100 33 0 0 0
OW 0 255 10 20 36 2 0 0
VODI 0 192 17 73 21 21 0 0
ODI 0 25 7 145 53 34 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 93 139 131 8 14
VCDI 0 0 0 32 332 2212 6757 20238
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 1208 19 120 0 0 0 0
OW 0 164 13 70 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 7 93 134 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 1 7 162 45 0 0
CDI 0 32 8 17 105 236 23 1
VCDI 0 3 4 69 249 1611 7618 19878
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77 846 18 81 12 0 0 0
OW 0 185 22 86 36 1 0 0
VODI 0 44 5 94 115 17 0 0
ODI 0 35 1 11 105 96 0 0
CDI 0 42 2 6 40 228 35 0
VCDI 0 33 5 76 157 1459 7826 20286
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77 921 18 85 13 1 0 0
OW 0 109 21 73 23 2 0 0
VODI 0 46 6 90 108 8 0 0
ODI 0 37 1 23 103 85 0 0
CDI 0 39 2 9 58 224 24 0
VCDI 0 33 5 74 160 1481 7837 20286

Date: 2017-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 622 11 62 20 1 0 0
OW 0 161 14 52 44 13 0 0
VODI 0 74 11 98 88 39 6 0
ODI 0 35 1 8 95 77 23 0
CDI 0 33 4 8 20 177 75 1
VCDI 0 16 6 69 121 820 8350 20777
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 669 14 77 31 4 0 0
OW 0 150 16 63 49 5 0 0
VODI 0 53 6 66 89 35 0 0
ODI 0 33 1 14 51 81 16 0
CDI 0 27 4 9 50 193 91 1
VCDI 0 9 6 68 118 809 8347 20777

Date: 2017-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 561 11 49 42 10 0 0
OW 0 104 10 85 77 22 0 0
VODI 0 21 4 68 153 75 9 0
ODI 0 13 2 12 96 161 23 0
CDI 0 5 2 32 65 257 291 9
VCDI 0 0 0 2 31 758 7954 21036
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 515 12 79 83 30 2 0
OW 0 67 1 27 80 15 3 0
VODI 0 70 9 77 82 62 2 0
ODI 0 27 2 11 66 84 3 0
CDI 0 17 2 16 24 168 59 2
VCDI 0 8 3 38 129 924 8208 21043

Date: 2017-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99 503 9 45 34 2 0 0
OW 0 137 0 62 77 10 0 0
VODI 0 88 8 81 141 23 0 0
ODI 0 27 5 41 75 67 0 0
CDI 0 27 4 20 71 128 24 7
VCDI 0 6 4 53 150 1233 8579 20242
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99 436 9 70 90 13 0 0
OW 0 92 1 39 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 1 38 87 28 0 0
ODI 0 65 9 50 36 61 0 0
CDI 0 37 2 39 47 110 28 26
VCDI 0 33 8 66 212 1251 8575 20223

Date: 2017-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79 553 16 70 51 0 0 0
OW 0 150 5 81 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 6 64 110 11 0 0
ODI 0 46 7 51 51 53 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 31 53 133 0 7
VCDI 0 88 9 80 234 3395 6748 19668
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79 415 12 81 68 0 0 0
OW 0 136 5 66 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 146 6 40 77 7 0 0
ODI 0 82 5 24 59 23 0 0
CDI 0 50 5 44 28 124 7 33
VCDI 0 166 12 122 290 3438 6741 19642


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