Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83819 11112 110 548 288 105 0 0
OW 28 186 35 414 216 21 1 0
VODI 0 51 15 239 365 54 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 82 350 70 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 455 289 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 410 1467 7543 708
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82664 11478 116 812 284 198 31 0
OW 29 277 43 459 261 22 12 0
VODI 0 43 15 239 420 55 7 0
ODI 0 12 2 60 412 106 10 0
CDI 0 0 4 31 406 324 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 188 1438 7037 1534
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82236 11580 119 740 475 181 0 0
OW 29 365 35 352 187 29 1 0
VODI 0 92 31 334 410 76 8 0
ODI 0 0 2 86 403 155 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 327 392 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 175 2634 6103 1483
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81795 11539 133 727 592 76 0 0
OW 32 438 40 387 240 37 0 0
VODI 0 88 29 299 480 137 0 0
ODI 0 15 4 75 416 227 3 0
CDI 0 4 3 33 279 467 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 173 2102 7478 710
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81794 11582 132 724 604 84 0 0
OW 33 381 40 401 257 33 0 0
VODI 0 98 30 281 544 170 1 0
ODI 0 15 3 77 364 232 4 0
CDI 0 8 4 31 215 468 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 196 2059 7462 710

Date: 2017-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81421 11836 97 591 474 93 0 0
OW 35 410 50 495 229 12 0 0
VODI 0 102 29 357 648 87 0 0
ODI 0 27 8 139 389 184 2 0
CDI 0 8 3 77 341 327 8 0
VCDI 0 0 1 16 423 2047 6085 2049
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81421 11784 101 604 509 96 0 0
OW 35 434 46 437 229 22 0 0
VODI 0 119 27 425 642 132 0 0
ODI 0 27 9 104 372 200 4 0
CDI 0 17 3 74 295 292 31 0
VCDI 0 2 2 31 457 2008 6060 2049

Date: 2017-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81352 11540 160 818 490 190 0 0
OW 35 312 24 383 202 7 0 0
VODI 0 79 29 285 891 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 94 560 284 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 275 614 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 363 1878 4403 3733
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81352 11116 122 705 560 200 0 0
OW 35 369 36 351 180 19 0 0
VODI 0 313 18 202 812 130 0 0
ODI 0 115 25 127 381 249 2 0
CDI 0 17 13 158 204 448 63 0
VCDI 0 1 0 91 644 1957 4352 3733

Date: 2017-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81153 11711 142 629 396 241 0 0
OW 35 359 38 385 175 8 0 0
VODI 0 120 21 307 606 24 0 0
ODI 0 18 6 104 664 164 0 0
CDI 0 4 5 64 273 459 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 502 2245 4458 3746
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81148 11283 122 615 466 248 0 0
OW 40 374 28 262 174 20 0 0
VODI 0 309 28 263 570 90 0 0
ODI 0 142 11 110 455 189 2 0
CDI 0 68 16 166 296 418 41 0
VCDI 0 36 7 97 655 2176 4429 3746

Date: 2017-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82378 10272 70 501 516 345 0 0
OW 50 550 47 342 160 39 0 0
VODI 0 241 33 357 478 33 0 0
ODI 0 40 15 131 445 154 0 0
CDI 0 22 1 72 327 346 10 0
VCDI 0 5 6 43 668 2460 5928 2015
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82378 10012 79 571 648 411 0 0
OW 50 473 22 223 168 26 0 0
VODI 0 297 32 281 407 72 0 0
ODI 0 150 16 172 365 267 5 0
CDI 0 87 7 79 341 301 34 0
VCDI 0 111 16 120 665 2300 5899 2015


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