Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1019 18 47 0 0 0 0
OW 0 200 5 68 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 2 53 71 2 0 0
ODI 0 51 11 40 174 42 0 0
CDI 0 41 5 82 239 164 31 7
VCDI 0 13 8 217 278 2106 9951 16977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 796 19 73 20 0 0 0
OW 0 206 8 58 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 8 58 110 12 0 0
ODI 0 48 6 80 95 53 0 0
CDI 0 36 2 50 160 266 25 19
VCDI 0 20 6 120 384 1770 8307 19125
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1161 26 103 29 0 0 0
OW 0 85 12 41 49 1 0 0
VODI 0 51 7 73 68 21 0 0
ODI 0 27 6 69 112 45 1 0
CDI 0 5 5 71 269 166 47 62
VCDI 0 0 0 0 153 999 7944 20374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1178 13 91 30 0 0 0
OW 0 124 13 48 44 1 0 0
VODI 0 91 8 80 46 23 0 0
ODI 0 65 6 92 53 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 82 150 104 7 12
VCDI 0 0 0 8 179 1567 7674 20248
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1231 15 96 32 0 0 0
OW 0 99 12 43 41 1 0 0
VODI 0 82 7 85 41 14 0 0
ODI 0 46 7 104 59 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 72 131 104 7 9
VCDI 0 0 0 1 198 1581 7674 20251

Date: 2017-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1106 13 114 48 0 0 0
OW 0 182 10 41 37 10 0 0
VODI 0 140 9 85 48 26 0 0
ODI 0 25 9 88 73 47 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 165 108 6 12
VCDI 0 0 0 11 162 1621 7934 19904
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1225 15 115 49 0 0 0
OW 0 126 7 45 31 7 0 0
VODI 0 92 13 73 39 24 0 0
ODI 0 10 6 102 67 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 137 98 6 13
VCDI 0 0 0 4 210 1643 7934 19903

Date: 2017-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 1265 14 107 5 0 0 0
OW 0 211 8 85 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 11 142 101 3 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 53 173 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 96 231 14 11
VCDI 0 0 0 24 291 1787 6862 20374
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 1145 7 98 38 0 0 0
OW 0 196 8 16 32 1 0 0
VODI 0 114 12 120 15 22 0 0
ODI 0 46 1 89 83 25 0 0
CDI 0 30 3 37 156 121 15 17
VCDI 0 3 6 90 384 1916 6861 20368

Date: 2017-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 1007 18 96 12 0 0 0
OW 0 154 21 100 39 1 0 0
VODI 0 51 4 106 138 6 0 0
ODI 0 40 0 9 142 63 0 0
CDI 0 48 3 4 143 190 31 3
VCDI 0 34 7 84 255 1781 7159 20296
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 879 20 93 35 0 0 0
OW 0 158 9 55 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 9 82 63 14 0 0
ODI 0 55 8 57 127 18 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 33 216 139 0 1
VCDI 0 59 5 79 259 1870 7190 20298

Date: 2017-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93 691 17 71 32 2 0 0
OW 0 194 21 75 41 10 0 0
VODI 0 49 6 91 84 39 5 0
ODI 0 39 2 5 102 73 18 0
CDI 0 39 3 7 21 149 96 0
VCDI 0 26 5 74 124 993 8740 20045
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93 628 18 83 48 8 0 0
OW 0 126 14 58 39 19 0 0
VODI 0 107 5 39 71 64 11 0
ODI 0 81 4 23 28 59 35 0
CDI 0 52 4 31 47 116 99 2
VCDI 0 44 9 89 171 1000 8714 20043


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