Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86506 18013 209 1164 576 265 0 0
OW 74 922 95 899 607 282 1 0
VODI 0 289 38 699 1082 527 0 0
ODI 0 56 16 241 1063 459 3 0
CDI 0 41 5 122 1058 916 171 8
VCDI 0 13 8 220 951 6154 28354 34941
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84841 17948 192 1488 575 239 37 0
OW 96 1041 84 876 635 254 102 0
VODI 7 456 55 600 982 607 84 0
ODI 0 116 23 326 1097 674 20 0
CDI 0 40 8 157 993 1093 83 19
VCDI 0 20 6 154 821 5134 25220 39845
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83158 19374 244 1385 684 195 0 0
OW 39 794 98 936 612 85 1 0
VODI 1 215 56 728 1136 288 8 0
ODI 0 28 9 216 1112 935 151 0
CDI 0 5 5 127 855 2014 338 67
VCDI 0 0 0 10 475 5465 24801 40398
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82658 18161 239 1403 954 115 0 0
OW 36 963 94 917 786 134 0 0
VODI 0 306 56 687 1123 444 11 0
ODI 0 86 12 230 986 672 42 0
CDI 0 4 4 116 714 1459 751 12
VCDI 0 0 0 20 445 5984 26868 39556
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82657 18130 233 1340 994 107 0 0
OW 37 975 80 875 656 100 0 0
VODI 0 342 78 781 1190 463 6 0
ODI 0 65 10 250 980 687 41 0
CDI 0 8 4 107 678 1407 493 9
VCDI 0 0 0 20 510 6044 27132 39559

Date: 2017-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81795 17591 187 1261 876 269 0 0
OW 35 1027 111 991 713 309 8 0
VODI 0 325 56 791 1353 401 77 0
ODI 0 84 23 335 1003 615 111 0
CDI 0 14 4 129 862 1252 222 15
VCDI 0 0 1 27 722 6234 24942 42277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81795 17579 194 1328 987 320 0 0
OW 35 996 86 775 595 272 4 0
VODI 0 369 73 877 1238 431 73 0
ODI 0 64 22 383 998 553 108 0
CDI 0 31 5 136 904 1183 216 14
VCDI 0 2 2 35 807 6321 24959 42278

Date: 2017-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81559 17777 255 1296 554 227 0 0
OW 35 784 94 1039 597 73 0 0
VODI 0 158 46 689 1873 469 21 0
ODI 0 10 6 228 1344 1366 64 0
CDI 0 0 0 95 571 1873 427 15
VCDI 0 0 0 30 691 5639 20886 46257
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81544 16643 196 1251 1098 346 0 0
OW 50 1122 83 591 368 470 0 0
VODI 0 679 60 657 1194 601 39 0
ODI 0 229 37 397 932 586 143 0
CDI 0 52 19 277 787 1237 324 17
VCDI 0 4 6 204 1251 6407 20892 46255

Date: 2017-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81601 17104 220 980 437 241 0 0
OW 35 1085 120 1062 397 9 0 0
VODI 0 206 39 744 1891 107 0 0
ODI 0 59 6 193 1675 607 9 0
CDI 0 52 8 113 943 1436 86 3
VCDI 0 34 7 108 991 7424 19854 47162
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81583 16208 210 1201 670 248 0 0
OW 53 1260 71 530 698 39 0 0
VODI 0 666 66 636 1380 232 6 0
ODI 0 201 23 372 1282 400 15 0
CDI 0 110 18 247 927 1171 106 1
VCDI 0 95 12 214 1377 7734 19822 47164

Date: 2017-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82686 14487 146 910 658 356 0 0
OW 50 1370 100 784 505 156 0 0
VODI 0 358 61 775 975 457 6 0
ODI 0 81 17 182 911 979 101 0
CDI 0 61 4 129 679 1722 244 0
VCDI 0 31 11 134 1153 7603 24154 44012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82686 13780 153 955 860 550 0 0
OW 50 1415 67 606 532 312 0 0
VODI 0 647 56 522 761 788 15 0
ODI 0 251 27 417 729 875 57 0
CDI 0 140 11 176 711 1179 286 12
VCDI 0 155 25 238 1288 7569 24147 44000


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh to. 31. mai 09:16:27 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy