Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 353 1705 5 16 7 0 0 0
OW 0 361 6 26 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 254 14 167 31 1 0 0
ODI 0 123 8 85 98 29 2 0
CDI 0 45 7 99 217 195 59 23
VCDI 0 0 0 59 346 3317 9719 14696
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115 1568 2 10 3 0 0 0
OW 0 276 9 36 17 2 0 0
VODI 0 301 15 63 28 6 0 0
ODI 0 153 21 123 140 9 0 0
CDI 0 12 5 155 301 119 46 19
VCDI 0 0 0 42 403 2911 9788 15384
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25 1572 6 21 21 0 0 0
OW 0 249 15 86 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 11 144 67 6 0 0
ODI 0 70 14 114 187 33 0 0
CDI 0 2 4 124 392 405 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 269 3345 12076 12572
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 1158 16 51 2 0 0 0
OW 0 194 7 65 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 162 5 68 95 18 0 0
ODI 0 72 13 79 153 24 2 0
CDI 0 27 9 118 232 192 31 16
VCDI 0 1 1 108 349 2671 10196 15916
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 1209 17 60 5 0 0 0
OW 0 132 6 54 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 5 63 73 3 0 0
ODI 0 85 12 70 163 27 2 0
CDI 0 38 8 118 215 212 47 15
VCDI 0 6 3 124 378 2663 10180 15917

Date: 2017-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 861 17 61 18 0 0 0
OW 0 202 8 59 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 8 88 87 15 0 0
ODI 0 30 4 66 122 47 0 0
CDI 0 28 5 40 246 194 11 1
VCDI 0 3 3 142 406 1872 8110 19203
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 948 14 59 35 0 0 0
OW 0 111 9 47 30 6 0 0
VODI 0 78 10 84 75 11 0 0
ODI 0 36 3 68 96 51 0 0
CDI 0 20 4 60 220 277 9 0
VCDI 0 19 5 138 459 1783 8112 19204

Date: 2017-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1129 24 105 20 0 0 0
OW 0 58 13 69 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 5 70 126 25 0 0
ODI 0 21 2 33 188 108 0 0
CDI 0 9 6 65 199 433 94 11
VCDI 0 0 0 2 96 1162 8969 18932
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 818 15 66 34 0 0 0
OW 0 152 5 39 27 4 0 0
VODI 0 95 14 62 61 14 0 0
ODI 0 53 3 60 94 54 0 1
CDI 0 45 4 33 202 259 83 25
VCDI 0 90 9 84 283 1397 8980 18917

Date: 2017-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1164 14 89 37 0 0 0
OW 0 130 8 33 43 2 0 0
VODI 0 84 17 61 43 24 0 0
ODI 0 50 5 87 52 38 0 0
CDI 0 13 3 112 167 103 16 1
VCDI 0 0 0 6 213 1203 7017 21247
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 704 10 66 45 0 0 0
OW 0 195 3 11 19 3 0 0
VODI 0 114 14 48 21 20 0 0
ODI 0 74 5 45 58 58 0 0
CDI 0 95 5 77 135 96 18 21
VCDI 0 259 10 141 277 1193 7015 21227

Date: 2017-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1169 16 103 35 0 0 0
OW 0 140 9 50 41 3 0 0
VODI 0 144 5 56 61 24 0 0
ODI 0 49 12 74 66 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 136 134 4 14
VCDI 0 0 0 18 167 1781 6439 21227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 545 6 74 23 0 0 0
OW 0 163 6 20 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 6 36 31 8 0 0
ODI 0 98 9 41 50 34 0 0
CDI 0 83 1 39 79 109 35 21
VCDI 0 478 14 153 294 1834 6408 21220


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