Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-11-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89715 18108 167 1006 510 33 0 0
OW 52 1289 94 654 304 4 0 0
VODI 0 636 59 838 795 73 0 0
ODI 0 195 24 412 1058 359 3 0
CDI 0 55 9 199 1096 1263 247 41
VCDI 0 0 0 68 759 9402 22948 34573
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88560 18014 174 948 417 66 0 0
OW 69 1490 81 521 427 17 0 0
VODI 4 1006 81 589 620 74 0 0
ODI 0 382 49 475 805 193 0 0
CDI 0 51 21 355 1111 806 69 19
VCDI 0 0 1 141 1089 8516 23716 36091
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86986 20723 218 929 351 46 0 0
OW 46 1031 100 829 389 28 0 0
VODI 0 342 73 756 706 79 5 0
ODI 0 82 21 402 965 173 12 0
CDI 0 2 4 209 1403 893 138 8
VCDI 0 0 0 20 812 7558 24299 36410
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87058 18717 207 996 671 42 0 0
OW 53 1101 82 760 724 109 0 0
VODI 0 414 51 653 1124 202 1 0
ODI 0 83 20 293 1004 249 12 0
CDI 0 27 9 182 1112 793 151 20
VCDI 0 1 1 124 1053 7434 28817 32698
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87043 18970 210 1065 820 70 0 0
OW 68 862 82 672 566 128 0 0
VODI 0 362 46 636 1034 141 0 0
ODI 0 105 21 313 1032 231 18 0
CDI 0 38 8 183 1110 819 172 18
VCDI 0 6 3 139 1126 7440 28791 32700

Date: 2017-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84691 18569 220 1585 607 307 27 0
OW 101 1033 78 816 582 334 14 0
VODI 2 370 46 677 967 729 1 0
ODI 0 83 16 307 1023 489 0 0
CDI 0 28 6 124 1152 881 61 1
VCDI 0 3 3 152 951 5712 26242 38058
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84685 18706 225 1649 721 378 36 0
OW 105 838 73 777 502 332 6 0
VODI 4 393 44 580 893 632 0 0
ODI 0 103 13 317 954 518 1 0
CDI 0 27 9 183 1106 929 88 0
VCDI 0 19 5 155 1106 5663 26214 38059

Date: 2017-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83182 19536 254 1523 608 199 34 0
OW 39 728 119 1019 694 54 9 0
VODI 0 83 26 785 1417 284 17 0
ODI 0 21 2 109 1347 1571 82 0
CDI 0 9 6 85 586 2095 275 11
VCDI 0 0 0 5 235 4025 25227 40747
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83187 18650 244 1558 891 426 47 0
OW 34 934 71 830 486 314 30 0
VODI 0 505 43 566 967 624 94 0
ODI 0 137 30 286 948 749 102 1
CDI 0 61 10 175 915 1271 153 25
VCDI 0 90 9 111 680 4844 25218 40732

Date: 2017-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82629 19145 214 1388 736 199 0 0
OW 37 944 99 923 677 100 0 0
VODI 0 261 64 697 1137 361 0 0
ODI 0 70 8 234 939 679 32 0
CDI 0 15 7 160 772 1537 967 12
VCDI 0 0 0 20 536 6040 23740 41669
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82630 18000 187 1484 1130 378 9 0
OW 36 1157 77 625 512 240 111 0
VODI 0 602 63 582 815 470 322 0
ODI 0 234 31 270 658 627 511 0
CDI 0 168 19 219 756 1121 315 43
VCDI 0 274 15 242 926 6080 23471 41638

Date: 2017-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82123 18071 209 1271 911 123 0 0
OW 40 1064 109 850 875 110 2 0
VODI 0 389 45 642 1274 477 46 0
ODI 0 85 25 245 963 625 73 0
CDI 0 4 3 139 698 1515 289 14
VCDI 0 0 0 25 453 6089 24785 42387
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82128 17129 201 1394 1401 262 60 0
OW 35 1032 73 549 672 261 56 0
VODI 0 582 51 542 925 517 293 0
ODI 0 251 38 273 737 584 546 0
CDI 0 134 11 191 610 1381 726 31
VCDI 0 485 17 223 829 5934 23514 42370


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