Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86200 10053 78 646 452 58 0 0
OW 17 198 16 162 443 101 0 0
VODI 0 40 16 157 285 158 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 84 256 129 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 308 211 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 139 3294 4394 1157
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85983 9962 67 587 255 135 7 0
OW 20 313 16 148 336 105 0 0
VODI 0 135 27 155 263 227 0 0
ODI 0 26 10 155 134 200 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 126 258 155 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 452 3631 3995 1190
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85872 10133 102 819 205 52 0 0
OW 19 109 17 209 216 14 0 0
VODI 0 88 16 198 351 231 0 0
ODI 0 16 6 92 154 328 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 52 217 299 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 174 2334 5061 1711
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85244 10201 115 744 394 32 0 0
OW 23 220 22 202 159 4 0 0
VODI 0 106 20 255 275 23 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 185 355 223 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 253 362 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 180 3002 5134 1214
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85244 10263 113 751 431 29 0 0
OW 23 179 26 179 160 5 0 0
VODI 0 84 18 328 298 25 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 155 266 227 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 302 354 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 159 3006 5134 1214

Date: 2017-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84633 10212 117 741 480 62 0 0
OW 25 303 8 160 200 7 0 0
VODI 0 131 26 174 310 38 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 150 376 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 377 351 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 291 3338 5174 1203
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84633 10296 111 730 461 53 0 0
OW 25 247 15 166 246 22 0 0
VODI 0 101 24 177 280 26 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 145 399 82 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 373 321 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 275 3366 5185 1203

Date: 2017-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84138 11049 107 639 294 32 0 0
OW 25 100 19 303 284 28 0 0
VODI 0 14 11 152 427 65 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 514 102 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 293 399 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 103 2465 4313 3155
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84134 10664 82 536 382 54 0 0
OW 29 296 15 184 180 39 0 0
VODI 0 177 22 181 219 37 0 0
ODI 0 26 17 155 240 65 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 80 505 143 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 389 2753 4318 3155

Date: 2017-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84725 10515 93 556 268 41 0 0
OW 25 179 37 271 187 29 0 0
VODI 0 40 15 192 299 49 4 0
ODI 0 1 1 74 322 60 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 556 171 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 270 1866 5644 2543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84720 10103 76 442 286 62 0 0
OW 30 348 18 156 110 48 0 0
VODI 0 202 30 211 193 39 6 0
ODI 0 66 15 154 207 36 17 0
CDI 0 16 5 115 429 97 42 0
VCDI 0 0 2 29 677 1934 5636 2543

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83819 11112 110 548 288 105 0 0
OW 28 186 35 414 216 21 1 0
VODI 0 51 15 239 365 54 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 82 350 70 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 455 289 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 410 1467 7543 708
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83818 10726 82 460 274 108 1 0
OW 29 315 31 227 139 31 0 0
VODI 0 179 27 256 231 71 0 0
ODI 0 69 10 157 243 46 10 0
CDI 0 50 7 132 381 117 57 0
VCDI 0 11 7 80 816 1633 7561 708


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