Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5652 7393 43 258 34 0 0 0
OW 29 595 66 596 308 3 0 0
VODI 2 111 33 551 860 153 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 111 579 463 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 303 1050 253 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 273 2356 9417 14294
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4985 7492 36 178 6 0 0 0
OW 24 718 54 510 207 24 0 0
VODI 0 222 32 375 894 220 0 0
ODI 0 83 6 136 435 447 9 0
CDI 0 12 0 36 374 947 150 15
VCDI 0 0 0 14 297 2107 8753 16068
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4527 7396 75 284 34 0 0 0
OW 23 452 36 444 340 2 0 0
VODI 0 87 14 268 658 125 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 123 710 724 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 171 1243 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 1863 10810 15218
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5053 6012 80 286 35 0 0 0
OW 49 462 47 471 186 12 0 0
VODI 9 189 24 384 670 73 0 0
ODI 0 16 12 104 662 283 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 591 855 50 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 226 2426 8931 17591
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5049 5988 81 310 107 20 0 0
OW 46 457 41 401 142 22 0 0
VODI 16 216 27 379 615 76 0 0
ODI 0 18 14 151 614 142 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 583 819 42 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 309 2570 8933 17587

Date: 2017-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3603 6808 63 248 56 0 0 0
OW 27 873 58 302 121 10 0 0
VODI 0 481 36 317 323 50 0 0
ODI 0 142 26 255 331 230 0 0
CDI 0 11 4 139 430 404 27 4
VCDI 0 1 1 40 389 2303 7921 19832
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3607 6915 70 276 74 0 0 0
OW 23 688 42 279 151 7 0 0
VODI 0 512 39 297 269 47 0 0
ODI 0 172 33 211 292 234 1 0
CDI 0 28 3 191 357 297 35 0
VCDI 0 1 1 47 507 2412 7912 19836

Date: 2017-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2510 8008 105 380 54 0 0 0
OW 21 719 86 604 180 2 0 0
VODI 0 91 31 461 450 48 0 0
ODI 0 17 4 105 511 289 3 0
CDI 0 1 0 33 214 824 74 1
VCDI 0 1 0 0 243 1617 8576 19603
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2510 7351 93 340 118 0 0 0
OW 21 619 50 336 187 16 0 0
VODI 0 377 43 409 243 65 0 0
ODI 0 317 23 273 257 114 1 0
CDI 0 151 9 155 379 272 60 2
VCDI 0 22 8 70 468 2313 8592 19602

Date: 2017-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3484 6833 87 490 195 0 0 0
OW 24 690 54 416 371 0 0 0
VODI 1 248 26 376 469 1 0 0
ODI 0 19 10 185 472 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 104 346 285 57 1
VCDI 0 0 0 37 457 2765 8913 18399
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3482 6012 69 378 300 0 0 0
OW 26 670 31 215 190 0 0 0
VODI 1 553 24 282 372 29 0 0
ODI 0 334 18 295 383 72 0 0
CDI 0 203 27 223 291 163 56 19
VCDI 0 18 9 215 774 2837 8914 18381

Date: 2017-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2685 5882 81 569 288 160 0 0
OW 46 536 55 417 367 261 0 0
VODI 0 104 21 407 646 471 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 119 539 347 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 364 463 58 1
VCDI 0 0 0 3 263 2581 10860 17256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2694 5623 72 464 510 403 0 0
OW 34 408 26 292 150 189 0 0
VODI 3 330 20 287 422 303 0 0
ODI 0 140 27 211 420 370 0 0
CDI 0 24 13 198 364 348 51 1
VCDI 0 1 0 74 601 2670 10867 17256


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