Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88383 9136 96 577 381 131 0 0
OW 9 104 21 192 71 52 0 0
VODI 0 92 6 126 141 53 1 0
ODI 0 18 7 56 210 48 7 0
CDI 0 5 0 65 174 167 13 0
VCDI 0 0 1 22 279 2877 4380 1199
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86518 10237 112 721 571 197 0 0
OW 9 131 12 250 112 70 0 0
VODI 0 96 10 181 122 63 6 0
ODI 0 36 9 82 173 32 15 0
CDI 0 16 6 96 148 161 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 54 281 2511 4323 1719
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87409 8844 102 900 819 33 0 0
OW 12 60 11 188 296 105 0 0
VODI 0 8 4 165 268 189 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 265 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 164 412 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 2737 4884 1023
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86567 9576 102 751 647 2 0 0
OW 14 122 9 169 530 75 0 0
VODI 0 17 6 110 332 175 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 305 142 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 236 295 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 3185 4626 1001
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86567 9613 104 728 720 14 0 0
OW 14 85 11 205 410 61 0 0
VODI 0 17 2 97 436 166 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 234 138 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 237 274 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 3221 4628 1001

Date: 2017-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86635 9536 76 513 334 137 0 0
OW 18 232 14 175 317 206 0 0
VODI 0 80 23 160 264 191 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 120 217 153 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 68 293 167 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 268 3424 4375 1073
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86626 9358 68 459 332 161 0 0
OW 27 410 22 207 249 119 0 0
VODI 0 81 22 193 341 247 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 111 264 136 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 62 242 162 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 265 3453 4380 1073

Date: 2017-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86526 9739 96 542 201 50 0 0
OW 20 155 18 314 258 28 0 0
VODI 0 83 17 202 380 199 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 120 213 241 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 260 348 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 176 2847 5258 756
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86525 9318 67 422 228 115 0 0
OW 21 408 30 194 254 60 0 0
VODI 0 174 16 235 298 235 0 0
ODI 0 73 16 204 158 173 0 0
CDI 0 12 6 126 166 211 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 38 384 2919 5253 756

Date: 2017-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86396 9201 115 1041 197 25 0 0
OW 20 169 17 247 139 2 0 0
VODI 0 124 21 209 379 94 0 0
ODI 0 25 8 114 189 321 8 0
CDI 0 2 2 69 218 295 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 179 2566 5000 1699
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86393 8821 93 533 144 40 0 0
OW 23 355 28 507 138 93 0 0
VODI 0 212 12 310 310 204 1 0
ODI 0 110 22 176 269 286 7 0
CDI 0 23 8 114 189 184 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 49 251 2496 4995 1699

Date: 2017-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85053 10104 93 719 485 33 0 0
OW 24 280 21 213 154 4 0 0
VODI 0 101 17 239 262 35 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 174 398 106 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 57 304 418 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 195 3434 5023 996
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85053 9734 82 463 189 29 0 0
OW 24 416 20 263 344 18 7 0
VODI 0 261 18 297 358 205 106 0
ODI 0 74 13 238 229 237 48 0
CDI 0 4 3 113 332 219 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 346 3322 4959 996


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh to. 31. mai 08:34:45 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy