Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-11-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1204 3508 29 81 2 0 0 0
OW 0 516 62 491 143 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 17 346 444 58 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 86 454 180 0 4
CDI 0 0 0 8 279 540 109 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 1790 8343 13199
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1476 2639 9 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 740 52 470 139 2 0 0
VODI 0 98 24 451 480 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 104 404 207 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 279 551 76 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 117 2064 9283 12323
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 675 3258 69 256 1 0 0 0
OW 0 215 43 724 207 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 2 210 838 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 464 280 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 91 700 112 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 1947 11362 10545
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 304 2257 37 173 17 0 0 0
OW 0 123 28 614 463 6 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 227 792 406 5 0
ODI 0 21 1 80 380 418 66 0
CDI 0 9 3 53 99 784 214 0
VCDI 0 0 0 48 100 2604 12076 9652
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 304 2316 54 329 81 0 0 0
OW 0 58 10 447 445 44 0 0
VODI 0 28 4 229 695 386 6 0
ODI 0 19 1 87 411 404 62 0
CDI 0 8 3 62 110 735 196 0
VCDI 0 0 0 41 109 2649 12097 9652

Date: 2017-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 242 2050 22 58 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 25 242 163 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 0 77 604 811 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 212 574 200 1
CDI 0 0 0 1 150 560 361 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 68 1125 8456 15895
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 242 2019 28 112 8 0 0 0
OW 0 132 19 180 142 6 0 0
VODI 0 37 0 80 585 786 11 0
ODI 0 8 0 9 213 530 150 5
CDI 0 0 0 0 172 526 383 27
VCDI 0 0 0 1 77 1222 8481 15891

Date: 2017-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 383 2299 30 78 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 21 194 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 110 237 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 304 531 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 63 1032 1187 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 850 5685 18834
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 383 1907 7 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 337 20 84 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 17 179 158 59 0 0
ODI 0 31 9 89 226 738 152 0
CDI 0 1 0 24 183 403 448 55
VCDI 0 0 0 1 109 1213 6323 18787

Date: 2017-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 307 2213 10 46 8 0 0 0
OW 0 200 24 111 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 17 143 118 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 10 105 149 43 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 264 1182 60 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 188 2882 9164 14665
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 307 1691 6 24 4 0 0 0
OW 0 425 7 32 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 278 19 113 59 24 0 0
ODI 0 74 19 144 76 533 6 0
CDI 0 24 10 111 278 840 149 24
VCDI 0 0 0 27 310 2710 9071 14665

Date: 2017-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 353 1705 5 16 7 0 0 0
OW 0 361 6 26 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 254 14 167 31 1 0 0
ODI 0 123 8 85 98 29 2 0
CDI 0 45 7 99 217 195 59 23
VCDI 0 0 0 59 346 3317 9719 14696
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 353 1427 5 11 9 0 0 0
OW 0 295 0 9 7 1 0 0
VODI 0 398 7 67 18 9 3 0
ODI 0 201 10 136 57 306 65 8
CDI 0 135 12 113 170 636 356 66
VCDI 0 32 6 116 447 2590 9356 14645


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