Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2017-11-09
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2017-11-03:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7866 |
7548 |
85 |
295 |
156 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
50 |
898 |
75 |
448 |
227 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
12 |
97 |
23 |
408 |
458 |
130 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
420 |
309 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
428 |
773 |
24 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
268 |
5326 |
6192 |
13122 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-11-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8194 |
5752 |
76 |
459 |
150 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
42 |
760 |
64 |
562 |
335 |
113 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
13 |
397 |
46 |
320 |
447 |
267 |
17 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
8 |
4 |
137 |
268 |
448 |
23 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
346 |
711 |
86 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
150 |
2899 |
7207 |
15471 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-11-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8577 |
5731 |
42 |
221 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
37 |
442 |
72 |
470 |
233 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
16 |
125 |
13 |
444 |
693 |
149 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
1 |
77 |
859 |
416 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
428 |
767 |
45 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
3718 |
7160 |
14836 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-11-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5473 |
8145 |
55 |
207 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
21 |
632 |
63 |
569 |
194 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
138 |
40 |
630 |
726 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
3 |
115 |
798 |
303 |
45 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
330 |
1012 |
173 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
278 |
2566 |
9603 |
13631 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5458 |
8185 |
52 |
191 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
35 |
569 |
69 |
480 |
129 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
164 |
37 |
741 |
697 |
39 |
7 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
3 |
111 |
851 |
341 |
50 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
394 |
1038 |
181 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
256 |
2514 |
9583 |
13631 |
|
Date: 2017-11-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5779 |
6884 |
38 |
216 |
35 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
38 |
658 |
63 |
587 |
219 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
3 |
197 |
25 |
469 |
884 |
194 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
45 |
8 |
117 |
466 |
441 |
27 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
442 |
863 |
274 |
10 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
256 |
2115 |
9272 |
15180 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5776 |
6918 |
39 |
274 |
56 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
38 |
632 |
62 |
380 |
156 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
6 |
185 |
23 |
595 |
712 |
131 |
4 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
49 |
10 |
147 |
704 |
492 |
39 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
415 |
850 |
293 |
10 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
259 |
2139 |
9237 |
15180 |
|
Date: 2017-11-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4538 |
7705 |
86 |
330 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
20 |
325 |
46 |
529 |
302 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
50 |
11 |
342 |
821 |
214 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
84 |
573 |
983 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
129 |
1423 |
290 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
232 |
1521 |
8072 |
17166 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4537 |
7381 |
62 |
316 |
119 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
21 |
550 |
49 |
384 |
257 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
122 |
23 |
367 |
654 |
251 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
25 |
10 |
147 |
535 |
811 |
13 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
3 |
74 |
220 |
897 |
218 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
324 |
2183 |
8132 |
17166 |
|
Date: 2017-11-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5924 |
5797 |
55 |
150 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
94 |
536 |
40 |
395 |
207 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
24 |
149 |
22 |
360 |
607 |
58 |
6 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
16 |
8 |
129 |
721 |
427 |
24 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
456 |
903 |
50 |
30 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
170 |
2270 |
8864 |
17321 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5927 |
5548 |
40 |
137 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
99 |
566 |
28 |
284 |
243 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
16 |
286 |
43 |
374 |
545 |
127 |
7 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
53 |
7 |
153 |
649 |
408 |
39 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
26 |
3 |
68 |
416 |
768 |
123 |
23 |
| VCDI |
0 |
19 |
4 |
40 |
312 |
2336 |
8775 |
17328 |
|
Date: 2017-11-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4309 |
6299 |
69 |
271 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
28 |
648 |
67 |
415 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
281 |
28 |
432 |
502 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
69 |
11 |
153 |
562 |
224 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
2 |
43 |
575 |
650 |
47 |
18 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
218 |
2651 |
8206 |
18881 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4260 |
6104 |
70 |
381 |
129 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
63 |
585 |
32 |
310 |
118 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
14 |
340 |
37 |
286 |
570 |
307 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
139 |
29 |
174 |
427 |
359 |
27 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
68 |
3 |
122 |
422 |
497 |
98 |
39 |
| VCDI |
0 |
70 |
6 |
42 |
350 |
2335 |
8129 |
18859 |
|
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