Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector
Bulletin date: 2017-11-02
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2017-10-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8197 |
8712 |
109 |
653 |
362 |
94 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
11 |
437 |
58 |
484 |
183 |
109 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
11 |
101 |
16 |
354 |
506 |
229 |
30 |
0 |
| ODI |
2 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
507 |
307 |
100 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
395 |
872 |
114 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
147 |
1566 |
5596 |
15515 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-10-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8668 |
7565 |
88 |
554 |
431 |
92 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
566 |
57 |
367 |
150 |
255 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
4 |
116 |
25 |
444 |
312 |
227 |
13 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
16 |
5 |
95 |
347 |
255 |
70 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
38 |
438 |
556 |
206 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
180 |
2134 |
5932 |
15644 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-10-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7827 |
8383 |
109 |
534 |
315 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
11 |
287 |
56 |
500 |
333 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
28 |
8 |
280 |
575 |
186 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
537 |
486 |
17 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
284 |
766 |
113 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
108 |
1915 |
7053 |
15035 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-11-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7461 |
8191 |
94 |
401 |
189 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
37 |
492 |
69 |
575 |
357 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
4 |
54 |
25 |
389 |
572 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
2 |
94 |
531 |
237 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
551 |
702 |
16 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
282 |
3709 |
6473 |
14182 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7467 |
8245 |
104 |
430 |
243 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
30 |
409 |
60 |
527 |
317 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
5 |
80 |
24 |
395 |
546 |
88 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
15 |
2 |
91 |
499 |
248 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
537 |
723 |
24 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
340 |
3674 |
6465 |
14182 |
|
Date: 2017-11-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7313 |
7394 |
94 |
414 |
165 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
39 |
814 |
71 |
431 |
278 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
22 |
249 |
23 |
326 |
396 |
270 |
4 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
339 |
411 |
17 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
363 |
762 |
61 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
147 |
4290 |
6701 |
14210 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7301 |
7651 |
101 |
421 |
163 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
51 |
580 |
59 |
423 |
271 |
94 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
21 |
225 |
28 |
326 |
401 |
278 |
3 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
1 |
0 |
95 |
328 |
432 |
14 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
318 |
720 |
55 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
207 |
4301 |
6711 |
14210 |
|
Date: 2017-11-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7885 |
6129 |
97 |
370 |
59 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
34 |
316 |
83 |
727 |
340 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
8 |
106 |
27 |
503 |
949 |
288 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
447 |
517 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
257 |
1113 |
53 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
2726 |
7946 |
14793 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
7851 |
5654 |
102 |
474 |
224 |
93 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
48 |
521 |
39 |
410 |
381 |
79 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
26 |
302 |
45 |
435 |
587 |
275 |
5 |
0 |
| ODI |
2 |
74 |
20 |
270 |
273 |
453 |
13 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
38 |
334 |
625 |
72 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
267 |
3167 |
7907 |
14793 |
|
Date: 2017-11-08:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8898 |
5294 |
28 |
194 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
57 |
580 |
68 |
462 |
172 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
24 |
179 |
18 |
410 |
683 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
2 |
21 |
2 |
116 |
815 |
370 |
21 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
352 |
961 |
67 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
273 |
3599 |
6840 |
15277 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
8881 |
4687 |
31 |
294 |
74 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
67 |
710 |
21 |
329 |
266 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
33 |
500 |
44 |
339 |
564 |
262 |
10 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
143 |
10 |
123 |
466 |
360 |
52 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
34 |
10 |
75 |
435 |
491 |
183 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
506 |
3741 |
6683 |
15277 |
|
Date: 2017-11-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5652 |
7393 |
43 |
258 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
29 |
595 |
66 |
596 |
308 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
111 |
33 |
551 |
860 |
153 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
2 |
111 |
579 |
463 |
41 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
303 |
1050 |
253 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
273 |
2356 |
9417 |
14294 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5657 |
6998 |
37 |
282 |
264 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
26 |
599 |
40 |
358 |
310 |
146 |
25 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
372 |
43 |
554 |
631 |
290 |
49 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
108 |
18 |
205 |
308 |
426 |
127 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
20 |
3 |
74 |
342 |
561 |
227 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
6 |
3 |
76 |
502 |
2562 |
9283 |
14294 |
|
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