Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2017-10-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92222 7512 58 232 126 27 0 0
OW 1 159 25 260 127 33 0 0
VODI 0 7 7 166 172 76 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 219 97 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 127 411 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1906 4159 899
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93775 5937 46 165 79 2 0 0
OW 4 176 17 239 116 14 0 0
VODI 0 25 6 195 256 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 206 73 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 202 211 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 2408 3730 1112
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92728 6594 64 362 111 13 0 0
OW 29 42 9 218 169 30 0 0
VODI 0 8 3 86 201 115 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 162 188 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 86 321 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 3062 3110 1360
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91961 6898 69 486 151 7 0 0
OW 6 72 13 127 246 23 0 0
VODI 0 17 3 49 309 101 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 12 137 192 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 59 305 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 2154 4236 1444
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91961 6887 69 497 208 6 0 0
OW 6 80 13 117 165 19 0 0
VODI 0 18 3 49 284 93 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 9 173 171 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 69 276 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 2217 4240 1444

Date: 2017-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91283 7398 46 323 63 1 0 0
OW 6 284 21 147 128 14 0 0
VODI 0 62 10 184 194 62 0 0
ODI 0 24 3 105 93 115 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 78 101 181 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 279 3084 3392 1402
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91283 7537 55 378 54 1 0 0
OW 6 142 14 143 92 12 0 0
VODI 0 72 8 146 229 41 0 0
ODI 0 14 3 95 92 98 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 69 90 146 0 0
VCDI 0 2 2 17 301 3159 3392 1402

Date: 2017-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91737 6759 89 569 243 0 0 0
OW 6 85 9 182 102 5 0 0
VODI 0 33 5 147 125 75 0 0
ODI 0 10 3 43 143 140 0 0
CDI 0 8 2 34 89 178 0 0
VCDI 0 2 1 50 202 3337 3253 1434
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91736 6331 68 513 217 0 0 0
OW 7 262 10 150 103 10 0 0
VODI 0 172 13 124 136 52 0 0
ODI 0 74 10 61 68 109 0 0
CDI 0 40 4 78 69 161 0 0
VCDI 0 18 4 99 311 3403 3253 1434

Date: 2017-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89131 8861 100 509 324 123 0 0
OW 8 131 10 152 35 63 0 0
VODI 0 47 11 156 130 59 2 0
ODI 0 20 3 51 197 48 25 0
CDI 0 29 1 44 60 132 48 0
VCDI 0 10 3 54 220 3649 3487 1167
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89132 8542 83 437 292 135 0 0
OW 7 224 13 130 68 51 0 0
VODI 0 156 9 144 236 69 5 0
ODI 0 71 12 69 45 65 34 0
CDI 0 47 4 78 39 112 60 0
VCDI 0 58 7 108 286 3642 3463 1167

Date: 2017-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88383 9136 96 577 381 131 0 0
OW 9 104 21 192 71 52 0 0
VODI 0 92 6 126 141 53 1 0
ODI 0 18 7 56 210 48 7 0
CDI 0 5 0 65 174 167 13 0
VCDI 0 0 1 22 279 2877 4380 1199
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88379 8923 86 499 403 162 0 0
OW 13 171 15 168 60 50 0 0
VODI 0 138 12 150 199 59 5 0
ODI 0 72 8 54 205 117 12 0
CDI 0 42 8 92 70 134 28 0
VCDI 0 9 2 75 319 2806 4356 1199


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh to. 31. mai 08:17:29 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy