Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector
Bulletin date: 2017-10-12
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2017-10-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
5781 |
6814 |
113 |
695 |
245 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
759 |
44 |
349 |
221 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
204 |
33 |
484 |
343 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
342 |
139 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
273 |
488 |
69 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
126 |
3608 |
8335 |
2538 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-10-08:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4749 |
7353 |
118 |
488 |
127 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
812 |
67 |
573 |
285 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
97 |
19 |
466 |
645 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
20 |
442 |
152 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
184 |
497 |
24 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
2928 |
7107 |
4879 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-10-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4741 |
6994 |
86 |
418 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
59 |
892 |
78 |
596 |
122 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
85 |
20 |
759 |
457 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
38 |
804 |
97 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
300 |
516 |
10 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
2697 |
7085 |
5157 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-10-12:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4435 |
6051 |
70 |
452 |
112 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
40 |
977 |
60 |
667 |
425 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
149 |
25 |
523 |
834 |
87 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
764 |
330 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
434 |
423 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
180 |
4297 |
5049 |
5624 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4408 |
6116 |
71 |
601 |
152 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
58 |
855 |
52 |
461 |
390 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
10 |
205 |
32 |
542 |
726 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
75 |
880 |
332 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
408 |
401 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
193 |
4321 |
5051 |
5624 |
|
Date: 2017-10-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4582 |
4635 |
44 |
335 |
225 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
117 |
1020 |
39 |
515 |
549 |
159 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
39 |
340 |
35 |
445 |
853 |
294 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
8 |
26 |
2 |
61 |
768 |
425 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
0 |
9 |
416 |
645 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
240 |
3965 |
5996 |
5233 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4651 |
4801 |
64 |
479 |
365 |
102 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
47 |
754 |
18 |
413 |
468 |
96 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
37 |
418 |
36 |
406 |
762 |
313 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
8 |
47 |
2 |
61 |
752 |
357 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
3 |
3 |
0 |
8 |
465 |
740 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
239 |
3937 |
5996 |
5233 |
|
Date: 2017-10-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4065 |
5073 |
59 |
210 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
568 |
40 |
490 |
283 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
147 |
26 |
453 |
1124 |
499 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
22 |
1 |
51 |
779 |
1491 |
31 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
1173 |
267 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
2776 |
6455 |
5837 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
4065 |
4259 |
52 |
337 |
324 |
143 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
784 |
18 |
276 |
359 |
293 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
711 |
44 |
404 |
710 |
598 |
10 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
53 |
12 |
164 |
605 |
656 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
0 |
23 |
306 |
901 |
15 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
3374 |
6726 |
5837 |
|
Date: 2017-10-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2859 |
4717 |
41 |
167 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
817 |
31 |
393 |
226 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
217 |
39 |
553 |
880 |
353 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
1 |
121 |
846 |
1487 |
82 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
281 |
1705 |
293 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
1906 |
7291 |
6727 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2859 |
4508 |
31 |
271 |
194 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
596 |
24 |
255 |
293 |
200 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
594 |
41 |
392 |
817 |
885 |
73 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
62 |
16 |
284 |
675 |
767 |
136 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
1 |
38 |
241 |
1303 |
25 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
2278 |
7432 |
6727 |
|
Date: 2017-10-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2697 |
4225 |
27 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
4 |
564 |
34 |
311 |
157 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
352 |
27 |
315 |
666 |
356 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
29 |
9 |
101 |
564 |
1268 |
83 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
430 |
1649 |
758 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
262 |
3028 |
6912 |
7159 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
2701 |
4347 |
27 |
138 |
56 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
504 |
24 |
189 |
138 |
270 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
306 |
40 |
371 |
556 |
837 |
137 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
13 |
6 |
110 |
780 |
1071 |
385 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
418 |
1207 |
484 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
131 |
2856 |
6747 |
7159 |
|
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