Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-09-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9963 6919 60 107 0 0 0 0
OW 0 340 53 274 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 23 455 191 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 108 797 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 800 837 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 451 7263 3357 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9379 7158 47 138 1 0 0 0
OW 0 477 47 283 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 20 418 301 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 723 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 554 980 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 5044 6211 10
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8972 7107 58 218 11 0 0 0
OW 0 272 34 246 89 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 16 274 429 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 628 180 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 166 1309 138 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1761 8220 1936
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8299 7179 47 222 36 0 0 0
OW 5 324 33 215 135 4 0 0
VODI 0 23 11 229 383 100 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 315 376 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 92 1164 173 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 425 4656 7624
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8304 7248 51 252 63 0 0 0
OW 0 255 29 195 114 11 0 0
VODI 0 23 11 210 324 129 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 359 332 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 100 1171 330 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 426 4494 7624

Date: 2017-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7910 7020 55 229 14 0 0 0
OW 4 356 33 228 170 15 0 0
VODI 0 44 21 215 332 107 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 35 319 325 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 278 705 196 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 974 5350 7110
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7914 7203 60 253 26 0 0 0
OW 0 185 30 225 149 31 0 0
VODI 0 32 17 186 301 103 4 0
ODI 0 0 3 43 367 303 54 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 269 773 261 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 916 5258 7110

Date: 2017-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8092 6631 33 151 8 0 0 0
OW 19 484 41 232 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 22 315 207 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 548 48 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 233 1093 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1924 7018 4856
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8093 6671 48 271 45 0 0 0
OW 18 375 21 210 119 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 15 147 325 39 0 0
ODI 0 11 11 52 261 235 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 42 224 842 139 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 1949 6890 4856

Date: 2017-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7095 6790 88 652 23 0 0 0
OW 3 494 47 293 94 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 18 293 296 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 429 57 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 373 636 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 91 2930 7814 3365
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6942 6527 99 761 135 0 0 0
OW 156 557 20 167 157 0 0 0
VODI 0 247 18 151 252 32 0 0
ODI 0 37 10 99 250 190 0 0
CDI 0 5 6 74 319 654 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 193 2751 7850 3365

Date: 2017-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5781 6814 113 695 245 0 0 0
OW 2 759 44 349 221 0 0 0
VODI 0 204 33 484 343 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 342 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 273 488 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 126 3608 8335 2538
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5611 6876 129 925 502 11 0 0
OW 172 565 29 211 185 23 0 0
VODI 0 270 14 172 226 111 0 0
ODI 0 41 11 125 168 324 0 0
CDI 0 23 4 104 191 649 73 0
VCDI 0 2 3 48 278 3137 8331 2538


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