Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-09-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 127522 16907 147 572 59 0 0 0
OW 6 1230 102 608 268 8 0 0
VODI 0 351 71 1056 708 5 0 0
ODI 0 22 9 377 1665 225 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 1423 2688 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 467 17059 13092 278
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124720 18623 152 592 59 0 0 0
OW 30 1801 98 606 303 37 0 0
VODI 0 369 70 1006 714 139 0 0
ODI 0 69 12 303 1465 249 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 70 994 2503 573 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 98 10245 19916 1229
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124609 19263 214 824 45 0 0 0
OW 0 466 74 788 243 3 0 0
VODI 0 31 35 719 1091 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 1525 407 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 856 3092 337 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 5773 21990 4445
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124418 18368 170 714 85 0 0 0
OW 5 621 83 746 354 8 0 0
VODI 0 47 26 644 1004 184 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 1049 642 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 767 2724 322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 2467 15442 16060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124423 18427 176 837 147 0 0 0
OW 0 540 73 622 377 19 0 0
VODI 0 69 30 628 919 226 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 95 1012 623 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 792 2686 473 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 2471 15280 16060

Date: 2017-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121764 20045 178 752 69 0 0 0
OW 4 738 84 725 418 21 0 0
VODI 0 79 48 624 880 254 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 154 888 589 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 1083 1594 334 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 488 3147 13803 18201
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121768 20177 194 906 173 2 0 0
OW 0 546 57 557 384 49 0 0
VODI 0 139 57 593 736 252 7 0
ODI 0 0 3 190 883 574 80 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 1123 1503 381 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 527 3225 13730 18202

Date: 2017-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122055 19222 171 601 41 0 0 0
OW 19 769 99 765 184 2 0 0
VODI 0 76 36 764 750 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 1640 207 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1260 2572 105 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 116 4922 20364 10229
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122056 19231 191 892 204 0 0 0
OW 18 692 77 618 401 5 0 0
VODI 0 133 26 527 914 174 1 0
ODI 0 11 11 116 812 554 43 0
CDI 0 0 1 42 1022 1625 308 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 638 5359 20117 10229

Date: 2017-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120016 19975 205 1054 42 0 0 0
OW 3 1078 122 790 216 0 0 0
VODI 0 218 50 802 845 4 0 0
ODI 0 19 9 201 1194 97 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 1333 1529 115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 372 6430 21730 8521
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119863 19735 236 1412 259 0 0 0
OW 156 1087 73 564 409 0 0 0
VODI 0 400 52 520 846 71 0 0
ODI 0 62 17 250 813 401 0 0
CDI 0 6 8 149 1146 1455 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 529 6133 21751 8521

Date: 2017-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118682 19306 248 1098 341 0 0 0
OW 2 1614 121 730 352 2 0 0
VODI 0 346 80 989 912 70 0 0
ODI 0 13 7 211 1010 316 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 803 1325 126 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 367 6623 21194 10116
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118512 19587 294 1543 769 22 0 0
OW 172 1107 74 538 524 82 0 0
VODI 0 436 52 478 721 317 0 0
ODI 0 90 20 259 568 694 0 0
CDI 0 57 10 181 602 1616 165 0
VCDI 0 2 6 64 601 5605 21155 10125


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh to. 31. mai 07:52:56 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy