Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-09-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11268 6585 15 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 628 51 176 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 63 804 508 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 205 5643 1026 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 571 4098 246 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10648 7138 16 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 673 35 154 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 238 67 636 494 71 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 232 3437 3061 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 181 4202 698 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11434 6699 25 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 499 62 212 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 38 659 251 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 234 2654 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1092 6294 968 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 70 687 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11363 6578 17 65 0 0 0 0
OW 0 563 53 155 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 41 620 267 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 11 267 2211 325 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 992 6458 1203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 354 377 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11363 6696 19 71 0 0 0 0
OW 0 437 47 142 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 139 46 593 268 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 10 293 2091 327 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 1115 6105 1135 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 705 447 0

Date: 2017-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10123 7568 16 55 2 0 0 0
OW 0 614 41 125 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 199 49 629 261 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 9 365 2097 193 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 919 6585 1342 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 471 344 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10123 7719 21 79 1 0 0 0
OW 0 442 34 108 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 213 48 569 282 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 12 410 1915 208 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 1084 6276 1140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 765 546 0

Date: 2017-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11467 6377 20 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 450 77 201 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 22 906 263 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 132 2939 118 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 536 7093 420 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 92 841 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11467 6138 22 98 0 0 0 0
OW 0 423 36 113 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 272 47 492 310 2 0 0
ODI 0 47 14 541 1774 148 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 1641 5917 782 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1236 479 0

Date: 2017-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10096 7532 39 78 3 0 0 0
OW 0 315 74 296 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 18 639 367 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 233 1832 929 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 308 4579 3593 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 87 942 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10096 7239 28 73 6 0 0 0
OW 0 386 44 136 33 1 0 0
VODI 0 241 45 499 284 22 4 0
ODI 0 60 14 490 1208 701 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 1008 3647 3240 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1230 1268 0

Date: 2017-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10118 7206 50 73 2 0 0 0
OW 0 231 51 363 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 15 350 435 141 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 128 1158 1154 81 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 98 2538 6382 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 25 1243 97
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10118 6836 35 84 19 1 0 0
OW 0 372 21 155 29 9 0 0
VODI 0 234 40 377 319 62 9 0
ODI 0 63 23 295 792 1002 169 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 606 1922 4589 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 862 2939 97


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