Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2017-09-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20071 6373 43 301 14 0 0 0
OW 0 775 73 475 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 157 56 799 721 4 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 420 4204 902 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 969 2140 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 63 5203 1960 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19102 6901 79 456 138 0 0 0
OW 0 571 41 487 404 28 0 0
VODI 0 202 45 505 626 313 0 0
ODI 0 24 16 427 1252 3463 155 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 738 2096 300 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 41 3986 3414 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19598 7503 59 197 29 0 0 0
OW 0 574 73 446 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 35 970 225 3 0 0
ODI 0 6 5 302 1683 42 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 1028 4377 428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 3007 5037 53
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19228 7774 72 231 60 5 0 0
OW 0 620 49 397 98 4 0 0
VODI 0 146 44 768 404 18 0 0
ODI 0 10 5 313 1302 271 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 789 3808 496 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 4953 3961 13
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19228 7864 81 332 73 5 0 0
OW 0 524 41 342 119 4 0 0
VODI 0 155 44 738 433 22 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 296 1305 242 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 720 3436 452 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 5350 4005 13

Date: 2017-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20133 6698 59 126 41 0 0 0
OW 0 880 47 335 71 1 0 0
VODI 0 251 51 710 356 5 0 0
ODI 0 8 8 255 1073 297 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 586 4065 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 5822 3900 15
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20133 6894 70 204 62 1 0 0
OW 0 665 44 298 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 268 45 666 444 9 0 0
ODI 0 10 6 259 948 502 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 600 3328 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 6350 3910 15

Date: 2017-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18212 8720 85 292 29 0 0 0
OW 0 464 60 381 67 1 0 0
VODI 0 108 29 859 329 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 128 1382 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 365 5183 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 5411 3578 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18212 8441 78 339 97 1 0 0
OW 0 583 39 288 162 13 0 0
VODI 0 250 50 658 412 43 0 0
ODI 0 18 7 357 753 368 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 653 2609 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 7622 3576 0

Date: 2017-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19998 7119 69 212 23 0 0 0
OW 0 562 55 326 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 153 43 745 271 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 235 949 172 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 529 3299 378 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 4278 6296 65
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19998 6718 67 233 31 0 0 0
OW 0 737 36 309 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 365 57 591 357 22 0 0
ODI 0 14 7 375 662 264 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 636 2087 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 5381 6400 65

Date: 2017-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20192 6714 75 248 34 6 0 0
OW 0 543 61 368 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 153 28 675 281 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 226 812 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 693 1637 378 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 6447 6119 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20192 6493 72 303 82 6 0 0
OW 0 579 36 287 135 39 0 0
VODI 0 263 48 544 373 95 0 0
ODI 0 75 8 319 511 260 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 786 1392 430 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 6396 6052 0


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