Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-08-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9559 7362 26 61 0 0 0 0
OW 1 354 65 373 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 37 970 762 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 188 5835 987 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 563 4574 239 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9575 7351 22 51 0 0 0 0
OW 1 516 61 253 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 53 952 1014 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 147 5846 1070 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 763 4016 247 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10377 7123 21 42 0 0 0 0
OW 1 435 90 268 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 28 1069 356 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 86 6525 491 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 608 4080 436 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11170 6579 16 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 551 69 225 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 50 870 538 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 86 5887 891 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 752 4212 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11170 6722 39 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 377 56 298 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 40 768 845 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 5206 685 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1125 4412 81 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11344 6531 15 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 652 41 161 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 210 75 710 519 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 252 5048 1540 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 299 3981 652 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11344 6740 29 69 5 0 0 0
OW 0 458 40 224 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 197 63 680 712 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 181 4653 1178 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 490 4328 652 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10157 7880 21 43 0 0 0 0
OW 0 523 77 222 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 26 723 249 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 2893 145 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 401 6974 788 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 748 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10156 7778 35 122 13 0 0 0
OW 1 475 38 196 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 197 51 584 814 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 197 2319 2978 286 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 339 4168 1250 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10937 7138 15 59 0 0 0 0
OW 0 569 53 135 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 53 632 226 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 254 2103 526 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1193 5866 1453 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 44 691 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10937 6981 22 95 0 0 0 0
OW 0 523 35 149 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 303 55 570 635 102 0 0
ODI 0 18 11 261 2459 2389 335 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 396 3945 1809 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10604 7206 15 52 1 0 0 0
OW 0 593 47 144 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 38 602 288 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 11 295 2078 333 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 547 6585 1684 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 362 358 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10604 7033 34 139 17 0 0 0
OW 0 497 24 161 105 1 0 0
VODI 0 398 35 406 558 140 0 0
ODI 0 64 18 400 1864 2176 498 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 387 4963 1550 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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