Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-08-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8150 7855 71 226 0 0 0 0
OW 1 230 34 463 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 35 601 951 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 173 5017 1546 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 716 4851 1011 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8709 7355 51 208 5 0 0 0
OW 0 301 26 464 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 170 46 510 1256 18 0 0
ODI 0 41 12 225 4641 2193 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 550 4185 1032 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8561 8039 62 157 0 0 0 0
OW 1 227 51 405 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 31 786 675 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 113 6168 546 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 601 4683 459 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 34 380 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9178 7742 22 60 0 0 0 0
OW 1 365 62 329 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 42 872 724 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 185 5898 900 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 621 4572 222 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 145 18 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9178 7753 36 79 0 0 0 0
OW 1 341 40 344 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 119 49 839 1105 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 184 5341 894 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 799 4544 187 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 178 53 0

Date: 2017-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10609 6304 13 51 0 0 0 0
OW 1 396 69 329 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 44 957 917 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 144 5791 1193 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 585 4333 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10609 6325 30 70 0 0 0 0
OW 1 370 50 361 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 115 47 904 1444 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 146 5192 1181 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 655 4319 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 24 0 0

Date: 2017-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9992 7337 32 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 435 74 307 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 35 1026 309 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 6864 387 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 428 4509 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9992 7048 20 53 0 0 0 0
OW 0 532 57 252 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 207 57 953 1631 3 0 0
ODI 0 2 7 167 5156 1159 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 804 3734 227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9640 7959 27 47 0 0 0 0
OW 0 452 81 284 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 32 982 469 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 6196 612 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 772 4107 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9640 7495 17 41 1 0 0 0
OW 0 600 52 222 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 331 53 911 1644 7 0 0
ODI 0 27 18 215 4982 1403 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 803 3309 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11268 6585 15 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 628 51 176 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 63 804 508 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 205 5643 1026 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 571 4098 246 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11268 6089 14 30 3 0 0 0
OW 0 685 25 173 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 552 77 709 1743 13 0 0
ODI 0 42 13 299 4358 1881 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 591 3230 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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