Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-08-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6120 8859 90 301 41 0 0 0
OW 3 236 65 661 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 12 613 878 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 142 5044 1266 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 944 5664 899 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 11 99 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6976 8237 69 307 43 0 0 0
OW 1 336 49 603 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 24 555 1292 54 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 178 4557 2042 72 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 802 4480 1245 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7552 8249 83 357 26 0 0 0
OW 1 145 50 431 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 8 808 366 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 5324 563 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 980 5892 1099 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 45 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8448 7603 66 190 0 0 0 0
OW 1 207 40 435 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 27 652 777 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 146 4752 1604 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1183 5486 364 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8448 7564 65 224 3 0 0 0
OW 1 242 45 396 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 23 633 802 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 166 5004 1677 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 887 5413 364 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8144 7879 59 227 0 0 0 0
OW 1 257 25 483 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 35 488 1157 18 0 0
ODI 0 15 6 191 4648 2089 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 549 4095 1499 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8144 7907 55 299 12 0 0 0
OW 1 238 33 407 45 1 0 0
VODI 0 121 28 489 1188 13 0 0
ODI 0 23 9 196 4671 2197 99 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 475 3991 1431 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9043 7378 52 162 0 0 0 0
OW 1 219 67 364 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 21 917 368 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 92 6253 565 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 407 5202 328 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 28 534 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9043 7154 55 255 6 0 0 0
OW 1 276 31 398 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 180 35 601 1447 26 0 0
ODI 0 63 19 249 4807 2165 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 718 3604 819 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8600 8149 51 116 0 0 0 0
OW 1 270 60 411 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 31 751 791 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 152 5890 847 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 614 4570 347 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 94 219 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8600 7911 42 197 0 0 0 0
OW 1 303 33 391 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 195 36 508 2056 94 0 0
ODI 0 107 31 293 4269 2150 123 0
CDI 0 2 2 41 915 3267 443 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9559 7362 26 61 0 0 0 0
OW 1 354 65 373 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 37 970 762 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 188 5835 987 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 563 4574 239 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9559 7164 37 175 0 0 0 0
OW 1 339 26 471 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 226 42 582 2254 88 0 0
ODI 0 88 26 329 4178 2067 62 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 655 3407 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 7 0 0


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