Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-08-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5085 9371 64 216 13 0 0 0
OW 1 412 84 555 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 25 735 831 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 140 2988 1963 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 700 6520 1860 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 62 245 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5734 8808 71 257 22 0 0 0
OW 9 428 54 573 111 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 31 671 1277 10 0 0
ODI 0 10 8 104 2737 2506 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 627 5326 2475 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 25 75 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7211 7942 83 215 16 0 0 0
OW 3 205 78 519 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 7 752 518 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 4615 559 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 841 7496 477 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 66 342 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6660 8355 94 313 40 0 0 0
OW 1 224 57 613 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 14 609 713 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 115 5133 837 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1168 5821 992 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 176 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6658 8314 104 449 52 0 0 0
OW 3 238 43 411 93 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 17 656 618 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 134 5243 1040 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1127 5601 955 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 23 206 0

Date: 2017-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6796 8249 75 312 30 0 0 0
OW 0 351 63 617 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 20 659 993 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 207 4968 1421 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1249 4501 1354 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 21 39 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6789 8238 92 499 34 0 0 0
OW 7 335 42 423 80 2 0 0
VODI 0 64 22 614 760 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 259 5099 1552 176 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1321 4370 1193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 16 57 0

Date: 2017-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7180 8410 87 378 45 0 0 0
OW 1 144 69 420 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 681 357 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 53 5190 541 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 657 6878 827 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 122 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7180 8237 88 455 49 0 0 0
OW 1 257 43 441 108 7 0 0
VODI 0 60 24 456 1095 77 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 177 4398 2834 188 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 618 4519 747 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0

Date: 2017-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8373 7606 69 257 6 0 0 0
OW 1 173 51 410 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 20 763 563 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 98 4884 1277 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1238 5670 583 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8373 7279 70 260 37 3 0 0
OW 1 375 28 439 70 16 0 0
VODI 0 138 37 606 1344 140 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 208 4563 2939 116 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 694 3851 472 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2017-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8150 7855 71 226 0 0 0 0
OW 1 230 34 463 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 35 601 951 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 173 5017 1546 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 716 4851 1011 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8150 7509 64 333 38 9 0 0
OW 1 412 29 464 112 26 0 0
VODI 0 229 39 399 1697 312 0 0
ODI 0 18 11 270 4310 2969 280 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 550 3082 767 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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