Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-08-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110118 24882 256 1224 93 0 0 0
OW 1 752 162 1769 230 0 0 0
VODI 0 180 43 2207 2103 25 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 365 5883 3324 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 3031 14662 3617 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 142 2583 7191 2167
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111126 24410 260 1341 111 5 0 0
OW 9 1223 178 1842 232 2 0 0
VODI 0 285 66 2056 2139 49 0 0
ODI 0 11 11 765 5372 3779 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 226 3171 13524 3286 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 115 3993 7089 362
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115681 22449 285 1071 78 0 0 0
OW 3 485 184 1549 134 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 20 2222 1228 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 357 8684 1274 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 2294 16339 1520 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 44 1503 5704 3882
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113411 25384 263 900 85 0 0 0
OW 1 903 139 1358 156 0 0 0
VODI 0 267 67 1832 1440 7 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 658 9075 1575 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 3785 13133 1768 5
VCDI 0 0 0 4 53 3600 6306 775
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113409 25423 296 1181 105 0 0 0
OW 3 708 100 1071 195 0 0 0
VODI 0 391 62 1734 1394 5 0 0
ODI 0 35 13 680 9174 1749 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 174 3625 12906 1700 6
VCDI 0 0 0 4 101 3655 6367 774

Date: 2017-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117418 21707 216 799 55 0 0 0
OW 1 1212 133 1386 141 0 0 0
VODI 0 377 76 1771 1810 33 0 0
ODI 0 26 14 752 9000 2250 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 291 4032 11065 1939 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 3103 5999 1324
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117411 21806 244 1178 72 0 0 0
OW 8 995 96 1030 187 2 0 0
VODI 0 463 78 1678 1744 36 0 0
ODI 0 58 21 731 8984 2369 186 0
CDI 0 0 0 382 4044 10713 1758 40
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 3331 6035 1304

Date: 2017-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116944 23098 237 752 64 0 0 0
OW 1 1138 174 1175 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 205 43 2414 753 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 401 10437 803 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 1953 16039 1460 1
VCDI 0 0 0 4 19 3380 5021 462
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116944 22979 235 1065 92 0 0 0
OW 1 927 105 1061 219 7 0 0
VODI 0 467 90 1501 2406 82 0 1
ODI 0 64 21 747 7792 3947 188 10
CDI 0 4 3 397 2607 11272 1729 99
VCDI 0 0 0 5 150 4914 4564 353

Date: 2017-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121055 19736 204 659 31 0 0 0
OW 1 1373 156 1091 105 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 65 2057 1604 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 372 9520 1868 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 3168 14328 802 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 15 3666 4599 423
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121055 19337 203 786 146 3 0 0
OW 1 1118 80 1015 259 17 0 0
VODI 0 634 99 1407 2989 171 0 0
ODI 0 129 38 687 7796 4169 135 0
CDI 0 26 5 289 3131 10417 720 26
VCDI 0 0 0 4 122 5087 4550 397

Date: 2017-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121515 19176 185 871 46 0 0 0
OW 1 1381 128 1208 200 0 0 0
VODI 0 195 77 1894 2434 8 0 0
ODI 0 8 9 659 8981 2238 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 3543 11838 1483 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 13 3667 4971 228
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121514 18806 180 1054 185 10 0 0
OW 2 1120 76 1007 364 26 0 0
VODI 0 681 87 1257 3544 375 2 0
ODI 0 132 48 892 7597 4152 282 0
CDI 0 21 8 468 3372 8497 1139 11
VCDI 0 0 0 4 155 4691 5072 217


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