Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-08-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2541 10186 149 522 18 3 0 0
OW 0 285 91 897 140 3 0 0
VODI 0 50 17 800 812 9 0 0
ODI 0 8 0 77 2449 1107 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1122 8809 1230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 209 534 14
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3655 9443 122 429 32 1 0 0
OW 0 376 102 763 187 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 16 707 971 12 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 126 2518 1809 148 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 947 7291 1738 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 190 422 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3691 10076 126 391 21 0 0 0
OW 0 241 85 654 99 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 9 759 563 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 76 3685 756 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 902 7038 2033 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 11 850 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4706 9566 82 232 17 0 0 0
OW 1 362 72 596 90 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 38 753 684 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 125 3278 1589 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 795 6420 2173 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 51 370 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4706 9558 83 318 21 0 0 0
OW 1 350 69 497 87 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 40 737 570 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 154 3194 1543 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 992 6427 2130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 89 413 0

Date: 2017-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6107 8413 67 217 18 0 0 0
OW 6 425 69 564 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 118 28 729 1035 9 0 0
ODI 0 13 9 117 2942 2104 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 518 5742 2514 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 35 180 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6105 8395 78 284 24 0 0 0
OW 8 416 48 485 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 146 41 713 753 12 0 0
ODI 0 11 6 144 3006 2023 45 0
CDI 0 1 0 1 747 5821 2369 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 34 292 0

Date: 2017-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6451 8497 93 215 18 0 0 0
OW 9 253 67 508 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 17 823 442 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 4418 404 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 476 7929 769 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 67 540 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6418 8234 84 304 26 0 0 0
OW 42 387 52 445 106 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 37 724 1140 32 0 0
ODI 0 10 4 103 3275 2558 61 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 851 5648 1199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 162 49 0

Date: 2017-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6794 8307 93 266 29 0 0 0
OW 3 174 62 606 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 7 701 581 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 4789 779 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1152 6255 1071 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 255 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6779 8003 81 401 56 0 0 0
OW 18 399 53 443 125 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 27 695 1490 60 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 90 3667 2825 210 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1286 4107 1104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 12 0

Date: 2017-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6120 8859 90 301 41 0 0 0
OW 3 236 65 661 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 12 613 878 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 142 5044 1266 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 944 5664 899 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 11 99 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6105 8641 100 599 114 0 0 0
OW 16 344 43 426 201 5 0 0
VODI 2 146 23 553 1745 191 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 120 3908 3344 417 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 1005 3419 592 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0


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