Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-07-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1919 8489 82 251 33 0 0 0
OW 2 811 127 877 143 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 61 1220 1077 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 139 2569 800 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1359 8860 1151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1116 865 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2135 8732 83 271 21 4 0 0
OW 1 935 122 874 121 5 0 0
VODI 0 142 65 1233 888 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 170 2199 1177 132 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 975 7852 2164 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 624 1134 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2577 9612 169 478 23 4 0 0
OW 0 208 102 973 68 5 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 1039 678 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 2717 259 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 842 9823 924 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1141 366 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2881 9684 156 542 22 4 0 0
OW 0 222 102 926 118 6 0 0
VODI 0 12 9 864 823 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 2613 666 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 992 9265 1063 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 309 706 25
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2881 9642 172 655 37 6 0 0
OW 0 249 78 821 140 4 0 0
VODI 0 27 17 838 750 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 2553 621 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1088 9266 1072 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 359 697 25

Date: 2017-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3389 9557 134 435 26 0 0 0
OW 0 326 84 831 175 2 0 0
VODI 0 53 14 730 925 15 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 91 2287 1608 174 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1181 8161 1252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 98 527 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3389 9505 144 548 48 1 0 0
OW 0 365 70 731 175 1 0 0
VODI 0 65 18 743 885 14 0 0
ODI 0 8 0 65 2187 1520 123 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1299 8267 1344 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 81 486 0

Date: 2017-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3468 10009 137 479 21 0 0 0
OW 0 204 104 700 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 4 785 507 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 3848 341 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 790 8424 971 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 131 1036 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3468 9646 135 684 93 0 0 0
OW 0 457 77 543 220 2 0 0
VODI 0 111 33 669 892 47 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 119 2639 2042 137 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1387 6770 1573 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 35 297 0

Date: 2017-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4326 9685 98 311 18 0 0 0
OW 0 316 84 625 90 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 22 835 557 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 167 3465 1211 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 859 6357 2441 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 30 564 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4326 9353 106 506 73 0 0 0
OW 0 506 67 554 133 1 0 0
VODI 0 157 28 647 942 45 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 227 2506 2936 347 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1335 4612 2482 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 176 0

Date: 2017-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5085 9371 64 216 13 0 0 0
OW 1 412 84 555 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 25 735 831 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 140 2988 1963 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 700 6520 1860 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 62 245 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5085 9043 81 372 57 0 0 0
OW 1 574 54 420 133 2 0 0
VODI 0 262 39 668 948 99 0 0
ODI 0 36 7 169 2512 3786 358 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 952 4659 1747 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0


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